Epstein Secrets

vely long in EM local markets, favouring Poland, South Africa and Brazil. • Equities — We exit our OWs in EM vs. DM, our overweight in MSCI BRICs vs MSCI EM and Cyclical vs. Defensive sectors globally. • Credit — Stay with a range of credit overweights: Long US, EM and Europe. • Foreign exchange — Carr

We thus expect base metals and other industrial commodities to pick-up sharply as we head into the summer and through the second half of the year. Jan Loeys (AC) EFTA00630376 JPMorgan Chase Bank NA John Normand J.P. Morgan Securities Ltd. Nikolaos Pani irtzoglou J.P. Morgan Securities Ltd. Seamus

han EM. • Are depressed valuations a good reason to buy EM equities? We do not think so, either. It is true that the PE gap between MSCI World and MSCI EM indices has been widening for two years now to well above historical averages, 3.8 pts currently vs. a historical average of 2.7. This 3.8pt gap is

1% a month return from holding the front contract and rolling down into the second each month. This equates to over 12% a year only in roll/slide. Jan Loeys 11-1 014 C014 John Normand (dt 1n) to 1R16 jimmilimmen Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou (do 1a1) 111A '19 I Seamus Mac Gorain ( ?4Gt~ Matthew Lehmann

an EM. * Are depressed valuations a good reason =o buy EM equities? We do not think so, either. It is true that the PE gap between=MSCI World and MSCI EM indices has been widening for two years now to well=above historical averages, 3.8 pts currently vs. a historical average of 2=7. This 3.8pt gap is

1% a month return from holding the front =ontract and rolling down into the second each month. This equates to over =2% a year only in roll/slide. Jan Loeys <http://=maillink.jpmorgan.com/t/AQ/AAMGjA/AAYLOg/QIFDJA/Ael/ABuQqw/AQ/BEeu> (1-212) 834-5874 <tel:%281-212%29%20834-58=4> John Normand <http://=ma

ur cmngbbal growth forecast. Consensus YTD 2012 and expected 2013 returns by asset class %. U Is unItedged into USD. H means hedged 2013E 2012 MSCI EM 15.0 17.4 EM Local Fl (U) 10.0 8.9 EMFX 10.0 7.5 GSCI 10.0 0.1 MSCI World 10.0 16.0 US HY 7.5 16.2 CEMBI 7.0 16.7 EMBIG 7.0 18.5 JACI

Hedged Into USD. Euro Fixed Income Is illoxx Overall Index. US HG, HY, EhIBIG and EMS Corp are JPM Indices. EM FX Is ELMI+ in S. 2 EFTA00598497 Jan Loeys (1-2121834-5874 Global Asset Allocation The Morgan View 04 January 2013 given we are only in the first week of the year, the early QE exit trad

use for our own global growth forecast. More details in ... Global Data Watch, Bruce Kasman and David Hensley Global Markets Outlook and Strategy, Jan Loeys, Bruce Kasman, et al. US Fixed Income Markets, Terry Belton and Srini Ramaswamy Global Fixed Income Markets, Pavan Wadhwa and Fabio Bassi Emerging

3% 12.2% Shanghai SE 2117 42% Utilities 47% 8.2% -20.4% 5.2% *Levels/returns as of Nov 08, 2012 Overall 15.6% 13.2% 4.4% 12.2% Local currency except MSCI EM $ Source: J.P. Morgan HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026576 --- PAGE BREAK --- Global Asset Allocation The J.P. Morgan View 09 November 2012 Jan Loeys (1-212)

such as Mexico and Malaysia. See "Consensus Asset Allocation", Adrian Mowat and team, Mar 26th. Open overweights in Mexican and Malaysia equities vs MSCI EM. • For long-term investors we just released our quarterly publication "Trade opportunities for long term investors" Mar 27. We monetize risk premia i

ntracts has doubled since we put the trade on in December. We stay long as we think these logistical issues are unlikely to be resolved anytime soon. Jan Loeys (1-212) 834-5874 [email protected] JPMorgan Chase Bank NA John Normand (44-20) 7134-1816 [email protected] J.P. Morgan Securities plc Ni