ing ahead of the fiscal cliff, and lower USD/CNY forwards due to avoidance of US-China trade conflict (see An FX guide to America’s toss-up election, FX Markets Weekly, Nov 2). The only surprise has been that FX volatility remains so subdued (VXY unchanged at 7.4%) in a week when the trade-weighted dollar and equity

nge in USD 0.8% 1 0.6% - 0.4% - 0.2% - 0.0% -0.2% - -0.4% - -0.6% -0.8% - -1.0% - USD JPY EUR GBP CHF CAD AUD Source: J.P. Morgan More details in ... FX Markets Weekly, John Normand et al. Commodity Markets Outlook & Strategy, Colin Fenton et al. Oil Markets Monthly, Colin Fenton et al. Daily Metals Note, Colin Fent

e vols are up this year - and the one with broader consequences for neighbors (through EM Asian intervention policy). Hence, this week's focus in our FX Markets Weekly on two other dimensions of the bearish yen view: what is the currency worth if the BoJ successfully delivers 2% inflation, and how broad is the yen s