Epstein Secrets

vely long in EM local markets, favouring Poland, South Africa and Brazil. • Equities — We exit our OWs in EM vs. DM, our overweight in MSCI BRICs vs MSCI EM and Cyclical vs. Defensive sectors globally. • Credit — Stay with a range of credit overweights: Long US, EM and Europe. • Foreign exchange — Carr

ities to pick-up sharply as we head into the summer and through the second half of the year. Jan Loeys (AC) EFTA00630376 JPMorgan Chase Bank NA John Normand J.P. Morgan Securities Ltd. Nikolaos Pani irtzoglou J.P. Morgan Securities Ltd. Seamus Mac Gorain J.P. f,,lorgan Securities Ltd. Matthew Lehman

han EM. • Are depressed valuations a good reason to buy EM equities? We do not think so, either. It is true that the PE gap between MSCI World and MSCI EM indices has been widening for two years now to well above historical averages, 3.8 pts currently vs. a historical average of 2.7. This 3.8pt gap is

lding the front contract and rolling down into the second each month. This equates to over 12% a year only in roll/slide. Jan Loeys 11-1 014 C014 John Normand (dt 1n) to 1R16 jimmilimmen Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou (do 1a1) 111A '19 I Seamus Mac Gorain ( ?4Gt~ Matthew Lehmann (I 212)831 8315 If you no

an EM. * Are depressed valuations a good reason =o buy EM equities? We do not think so, either. It is true that the PE gap between=MSCI World and MSCI EM indices has been widening for two years now to well=above historical averages, 3.8 pts currently vs. a historical average of 2=7. This 3.8pt gap is

n roll/slide. Jan Loeys <http://=maillink.jpmorgan.com/t/AQ/AAMGjA/AAYLOg/QIFDJA/Ael/ABuQqw/AQ/BEeu> (1-212) 834-5874 <tel:%281-212%29%20834-58=4> John Normand <http://=maillink.jpmorgan.com/t/AQ/AAMGjA/AAYLC/g/QIFDJA/Ael/A8QyhQ/AWGNvy> (44-20) 7134-1816 Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou <http://=maillink.jpmorgan.c

ur cmngbbal growth forecast. Consensus YTD 2012 and expected 2013 returns by asset class %. U Is unItedged into USD. H means hedged 2013E 2012 MSCI EM 15.0 17.4 EM Local Fl (U) 10.0 8.9 EMFX 10.0 7.5 GSCI 10.0 0.1 MSCI World 10.0 16.0 US HY 7.5 16.2 CEMBI 7.0 16.7 EMBIG 7.0 18.5 JACI

and important disclosures. Global Asset Allocation 04 January 2013 Global Asset Allocation Jan Loeys AC (1-212)834-5874 JPMorgan Chase Bank NA John Normand (44-20) 7134-1816 M. Morgan Securities plc Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou (44-20) 7134-7815 Morgan Secunties plc Seamus Mac Gorain (44-20)7134-7761

yst certification and important disclosures. Global Asset Allocation Jan Loeys AC (1-212) 834-5874 [email protected] JPMorgan Chase Bank NA John Normand (44-20) 7134-1816 [email protected] J.P. Morgan Securities ple Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou (44-20) 7134-7815 nikolaos.panigirtzoglou@jpmorga

3% 12.2% Shanghai SE 2117 42% Utilities 47% 8.2% -20.4% 5.2% *Levels/returns as of Nov 08, 2012 Overall 15.6% 13.2% 4.4% 12.2% Local currency except MSCI EM $ Source: J.P. Morgan HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026576 --- PAGE BREAK --- Global Asset Allocation The J.P. Morgan View 09 November 2012 Jan Loeys (1-212)

analyst certification and important disclosures. Global Asset Allocation Jan Loeys AC (1-212) 834-5874 [email protected] JPMorgan Chase Bank NA John Normand (44-20) 7134-1816 [email protected] J.P. Morgan Securities plc Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou (44-20) 7134-7815 [email protected]

such as Mexico and Malaysia. See "Consensus Asset Allocation", Adrian Mowat and team, Mar 26th. Open overweights in Mexican and Malaysia equities vs MSCI EM. • For long-term investors we just released our quarterly publication "Trade opportunities for long term investors" Mar 27. We monetize risk premia i