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ur cmngbbal growth forecast. Consensus YTD 2012 and expected 2013 returns by asset class %. U Is unItedged into USD. H means hedged 2013E 2012 MSCI EM 15.0 17.4 EM Local Fl (U) 10.0 8.9 EMFX 10.0 7.5 GSCI 10.0 0.1 MSCI World 10.0 16.0 US HY 7.5 16.2 CEMBI 7.0 16.7 EMBIG 7.0 18.5 JACI
.5% - 2.0% - 1.5% 1.0% - 0.5% 0.0% 45% -1.0% 1 J.P.Morgan I ' -1.5% - USD JPY EUR GBP CHF CAD AUD TWI Source:. Morgan More details in ... FX Markets Weekly, John Normand et al. Commodity Markets Outlook 8 Strategy. Cohn Fenton et al. Oil Markets Monthly. Cohn Fenton et al. Daily Metals Note. Cohn Fem
ing ahead of the fiscal cliff, and lower USD/CNY forwards due to avoidance of US-China trade conflict (see An FX guide to America’s toss-up election, FX Markets Weekly, Nov 2). The only surprise has been that FX volatility remains so subdued (VXY unchanged at 7.4%) in a week when the trade-weighted dollar and equity
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026574 →3% 12.2% Shanghai SE 2117 42% Utilities 47% 8.2% -20.4% 5.2% *Levels/returns as of Nov 08, 2012 Overall 15.6% 13.2% 4.4% 12.2% Local currency except MSCI EM $ Source: J.P. Morgan HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026576 --- PAGE BREAK --- Global Asset Allocation The J.P. Morgan View 09 November 2012 Jan Loeys (1-212)
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026577 →such as Mexico and Malaysia. See "Consensus Asset Allocation", Adrian Mowat and team, Mar 26th. Open overweights in Mexican and Malaysia equities vs MSCI EM. • For long-term investors we just released our quarterly publication "Trade opportunities for long term investors" Mar 27. We monetize risk premia i
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_030850 →nge in USD 0.8% 1 0.6% - 0.4% - 0.2% - 0.0% -0.2% - -0.4% - -0.6% -0.8% - -1.0% - USD JPY EUR GBP CHF CAD AUD Source: J.P. Morgan More details in ... FX Markets Weekly, John Normand et al. Commodity Markets Outlook & Strategy, Colin Fenton et al. Oil Markets Monthly, Colin Fenton et al. Daily Metals Note, Colin Fent
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_030851 →Entities connected to both MSCI EM and FX Markets Weekly

JPMorgan Chase
ORGANIZATION
Matthew Lehmann
PERSONSeamus Mac Gorain
PERSON
John Normand
PERSONJan Loeys
PERSON
New Zealand
LOCATION
Malaysia
LOCATION
Philippines
LOCATIONthe Securities and Futures Commission
ORGANIZATIONthe Mexican Stock Exchange
ORGANIZATIONUS Fixed Income Markets
ORGANIZATION
Hungary
LOCATIONKalina
LOCATION
David Hensley
PERSONGlobal Data Watch
ORGANIZATION
Ecuador
LOCATIONJapan Investment Advisers Association
ORGANIZATIONBombay Stock Exchange Limited
ORGANIZATION
Venezuela
LOCATIONthe Stock Exchange of Thailand
ORGANIZATION