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tem in 1992, or the collapse of Japan into deflation in the early 1990's. At the time of writing it is clear that the central banks of the USA, the Eurozone, Japan, the UK, Switzerland, Sweden and others are all following their own significantly different policies, based primarily on experience and intu
es around Germany, not only does this include euro users such as Austria, Finland, the Netherlands and Belgium, it also includes others such as the Czech Republic, Denmark, Sweden and the Baltic states. Together, these countries form a linked bloc, with all countries moving closely in phase with Germany. 154
k 26 Pace of Federal Reserve Tightening 27 Low Expectations of a US Recession 28 29 30 30 31 33 Rising Influence of Populist Parties in the Eurozone Geopolitical Hot Spots Get Hotter Terrorism Escalates Cyberattacks Continue China Submerges Under Its Debt Burden and Capital Outflows US-China Re
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014537 →wth of 4.6%, aided by healthy domestic growth, and a particularly well-capitalized® banking sector that has a lower nonperforming loan ratio than the Eurozone bank average. Furthermore, Spain is unlikely to face the same political uncertainty as Germany, France and Italy in 2017. We expect high single-digit
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014558 →Ses 2 Fea f = 2 22 3 sf SE a te ge < = 2 zs eer 8 = = 3 wn New Zealand Data as of December 31, 2016. Source: Investment Strategy Group, Bloomberg. Czech Republic South Africa 60 | Goldman Sachs | JANUARY 2017 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014593 --- PAGE BREAK --- incorporates this view, as we are neutral on the euro, y
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014594 →ad | 16 November 2016 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014735 --- PAGE BREAK --- target. It is possible that Trump’s election could weaken fiscal discipline in the Eurozone over the medium term, but we are more concerned by the non-trivial risk that the ECB may disappoint in the December meeting by either not extending q
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014736 →stress may bring opportunities to buy dips. CEE capitalized the past five year much better, with fiscal consolidation in Hungary, balanced budget in Czech Republic, and low debt/GDP ratios in Poland. Also, the growth picture is much more rosy, making leverage much more manageable. Trade recommendation: Buy 50y
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014775 →Entities connected to both Eurozone and Czech Republic

Hungary
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Belgium
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Finland
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Norway
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Denmark
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Luxembourg
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United Kingdom
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Romania
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Ireland
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Slovenia
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Jeffrey Epstein
PERSON
United States
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European Union
ORGANIZATION
Malaysia
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Barack Obama
PERSON
New Zealand
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Chile
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Marc Rich
PERSON
Donald Trump
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Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION