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rill Lynch Global Liquid Markets Weekly 124 July 2017 25 EFTA00788499 Disclosures Important Disclosures BofA Merrill Lynch Credit Opinion Key BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research provides recommendations on an issuers bonds (indtding corporate and sovereign externaldebt securities), capital securities, equity preferreds and CD
ts may explain why Draghi gave up on the currency this week. But something has been lost in the process and the Euro could now appreciate freely if Eurozone data keeps improving. BoJ only dovish major central bank The BoJ left its policy unchanged this week and Governor Kuroda justified the current po
0 35 ; 40 —— (SM / Euro PMI manuf alg (advanced 9m) 30 =———=|\iSCI Europe EPS € (trailing yoy, R 60 01/98 «= 01/01 0104 01/07 O10 O13 O16 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Datastream, IBES Chart 3: Cyclicals vs Defensives trade now looks very stretched 4 3 2 1 0 { -2 3 -4 Dec-97 Dec-01 Dec-05 Dec-09 Dec-13 Cyclicals
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014462 →, PMI’s and consumer confidence pointing to a solid Q4 to follow. That quarter is currently tracking at 3.6% according to the Atlanta Fed. Chart 13: Eurozone PMI’s have picked up of late... Chart 14: US Consumer Confidence now at post-GFC highs 60.0 120 100 59.0 80 50.0 60 40 45.0 ———US Consumer Confidence
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014465 →n for investors as we enter a busy year for European politics (see table opposite} is whether the populism train will gather pace or terminate at the Eurozone. Italy risks elevated, but risks two way and banks the bigger issue Although Italy goes to the polls this year, it is worthwhile starting with this
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014475 →d instruments Lynch entities affiliates may, at any ‘A Merrill Lynch Global Research, may have issued and may in the future issue trad
tem from abroad. Specifically, we see higher uncertainty over global trade, risk sentiment, and FX as a result of political transitions in the US and Eurozone. We consider multiple policy scenarios under a Trump presidency. Trump’s campaign promises have mixed implications for Japan. On a positive note dere
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014417 →Entities connected to both BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research and Eurozone

Jeffrey Epstein
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United Kingdom
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Donald Trump
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Barack Obama
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Michael Bloomberg
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