Epstein Secrets

4.8 3.0 5.5 5.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 5.1 5.1 5.4 4.7 Mexico 3.9 3.9 3.6 3.3 1.8 2.3 3.9 4.5 4.6 4.0 3.9 4.4 4.1 3.5 Peru Uruguay Venezuela Asia/Pacific 6.9 5.7 4.2 6.2 3.5 5.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 6.0 2.2 t -0.5 5.5 7.8 t 42 6.0 a 0.0 6.5 6.0 .4.0 6.0 4.3 0.0 5.0 4.0 3

than trend shifts. • Last week, we raised our USD/JPY forecasts from a 2013 range of 75.85 to a range of 80-90. We have always been sceptical that the Bank of Japan would be able to drive up Japanese inflation and drive down real yields versus the US to power USD/JPY higher throughout 2013, but there is no deny

e appreciation of the yen, once again pushing the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ’s) 2% inflation target further into the futu

u of Labor Statistics BOE: Bank of England BOJ: Bank of Japan CAGR: compound annual growth rate CDS: credit de

hina, South Africa and Brazil—have negative outlooks from at least two rating agencies, raising the potential for downgrades.! A potential default by Venezuela and its national oil company could also sour sentiment, as could unfavorable tariffs or trade restrictions from the new US administration. Finally, t

Meeting 12 m November 2016 Agreed Cut 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 -0.2 -0.4 ran raq Libya UAE Total Algeria Angola Ecuador Kuwait Nigeria Qatar Saudi Venezuela Data as of November 30, 2016. Source: Investment Strategy Group, Bloomberg, OPEC. Exhibit 97: US Energy Sector Ratio of Capital Spending (Capex) to

lar to QE itself. Beyond that, this is another small step towards perceptions that monetary policy is no longer independent from fiscal policy, like the Bank of Japan’s joint statement with two government ministers last month. Nobody knows the tipping point at which these perceptions feed into much higher inflation e

30 21+ 3.5 40 3.2 3.3 55 3.9 44 44 Peru 6.9 6.0 7.0 83 6.0 55 6.0 8.0 8.0 7.0 45 41 3.0 28 Uruguay 57 3) 40 11.8 21 9.0 -90 12.0 70 9.0 83 8.0 76 12 Venezuela 42 5.0 0.0 10.1 0.6 3.5 0.0 40 0.0 3.0 28.5 22.3 18.5 30.2 Asia/Pacific Japan -07 17 0.1 53 0.7 -3.5 -20 0 16 Le -03 0.2 0.0 -0.2 Australia 21 3.5 25