4
Shared Docs
4
Same-Page
4 / 4
Mentions
existing longer term ratings. These trade ideas can be found at the SOLAR link at http://gm.db.com. 3. Country-Specific Disclosures Australia and New Zealand: This research, and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Australian Corporations Act and New Zealan
12 Source: Deutsche Bank, Bloomberg Finance LP Nov 12 Feb 13 May 13 NZD/CAD Model - uses Dairy Futures, NatGas, Crude, CRB, rate differential, USD TWI, VIX Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 9 EFTA01464441 16 May 2813 FX Blueprint: Dashing Buck While both crosses have now fallen a long way relativ
DB FX Research and RBA Source: DB FX Research and RBA Page 26 Deutsche Bank AG/London EFTA01464521 28 February 2013 Exchange Rate Perspectives New Zealand (NZD bn ) Figure 1: The basic balance Figure 2: FDI flows Source: DB FX Research and Haver Source: DB FX Research and Haver Figure 3: Net Portfo
EFTA01464491 1.5% 2.0% Figure 6: Record Negative Correlation Between Dollar and Stocks Reversing Suggests Regime Change 2y correlation between USD TWI and S&P500 using ly rolling returns using levels Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 7 EFTA01464492 28 February 2013 Exchange Rate Perspectives .Fig
y Spain Netherlands Belgium Austria Finland Greece Portugal Ireland United Kingdom Denmark Norway Sweden Switzerland Canada Australia New Zealand EEMEA Czech Republic Egypt Hungary Israel Kazakhstan Nigeria Poland Romania Russia Saudi Arabia South Africa Turkey Ukraine United Ara
rg Finance LP, Deutsche Bank Research Index USDTWI PPP Implied 20% Band 100 110 120 130 60 70 80 90 Figure 7: Dollar leads productivity USD TWI (dev from PPP implied, 12q lead, lhs) US Nonfarm Productivity (dev from trend) (rhs) 10 20 30 40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 Correl (since 1982): 51%
ies... Figure 50: _with relatively modest purchases by Australians of foreign debt Source: DB FX Research and RBA Source: DB FX Research and RBA New Zealand (NZD bn) Figure 51: The basic balance Figure 52: FDI flows Source: DB FX Research and Haver Source: DB FX Research and Haver Figure 53: Net Port
r has fallen substantially Source: DB FX Research and US Treasury Source: DB FX Research and US Treasury Figure 11: No clear relationship between USD TWI and UST purchases Figure 12: Net equity flows turn positive Source: DB FX Research and US Treasury Source: DB FX Research and US Treasury Page 2
Entities connected to both New Zealand and USD TWI

Malaysia
LOCATION
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION
Norway
LOCATION
Belgium
LOCATION
Philippines
LOCATION
Alan Dershowitz
PERSON
Columbia University
LOCATION
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Chile
LOCATION
Hungary
LOCATION
Sydney
LOCATION
Tokyo
LOCATION
Deutsche Bank
ORGANIZATION
Moody's
ORGANIZATIONDoug Band
PERSON
Harvey Weinstein
PERSONJapan Investment Advisers Association
ORGANIZATION
U.S. Treasury
ORGANIZATION
South Africa
LOCATION