Epstein Secrets

countries with severe capital controls based on IMF indicators (Algeria, Angola, China, Malaysia, Tunisia, Cote d'Ivoire. India. Morocco, Pakistan, Philippines, Sri Lanka, Swaziland. Tanzania, Togo, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan), we find that bitcoin is more volatile than these currencies (Chart 7). However, it

bits near zero correlation with all major equity markets around the world (Table 4). Table 4: Equities • weekly returns correlation Bitcoln .500 MSCI World HSCEI HSI NIFTY EURO STOXX 50 Nikkei Bitcoin IL 0.04 0.05 0.02 IMIliale rliarliC • 500 0.96 0.50 0.54 0.51 0.78 0.53 MSCI World

2.2 3.01 1.1 02 15 2.51 4.0 4.5 4.5t 2.4 1.74 2.44 3.0 4 Malaysia 5.1 5.3 5.1 6.3 3.6 6,5 5.0 4.5 4.5 5.0 1.7 1.2 2.3 2.6 Philippines 3.8 6.4 4.8 5.0 52 43 t 4.5 4.9 t 5.3 t 5.3 t 2.9 2.3 2.3 2.9 Singapore 4.9 1.2 1 2.3 0.5 -5.9 1.8 1 6.1 t 1.6 4.1 6.1 5.3

asset class %. U Is unItedged into USD. H means hedged 2013E 2012 MSCI EM 15.0 17.4 EM Local Fl (U) 10.0 8.9 EMFX 10.0 7.5 GSCI 10.0 0.1 MSCI World 10.0 16.0 US HY 7.5 16.2 CEMBI 7.0 16.7 EMBIG 7.0 18.5 JACI 6.5 14.3 EU HY 6.0 25.0 US HY Loans 5.5 9.7 US KG 5.4 9.9 Gold 5.0 6.

997; equities expensive 31 Malaysia — low-beta but fundamentally without merit 33 Thailand — tempting only to a tactical contrarian 34 Philippines — superior fundamentals more than priced in 35 LATIN AMERICA 37 Brazil — cheap but fundamentals continue to deteriorate 37 Mexico —

, when we forecast that the US would outperform by 20-25% in 2013, as the figure to date is just under 30% and around 25% against the DM benchmark, MSCI World. We maintain our recommendation for investors to overweight DM against EM in 2014, but it has become a more difficult call as DM has outperformed E