Epstein Secrets

ce the central bank to revise its inflation projections down by at least 25/30 bps. This, in our view, combined with the very cautious message from Draghi. strengthens our call for a very slow pace of tapering from Jan18 onward, in contrast with investors' expectations (discussed last week and in the

ot affected the Euro much. First, the EUR weakened as the ECB statement kept the option to do more QE if necessary. Then, the EUR strengthened when Draghi avoided talking the EUR down when he was asked about its recent strength. However, the EUR continued strengthening during and after the press confe

be artificially suppressed by controls. When looking at 16 countries with severe capital controls based on IMF indicators (Algeria, Angola, China, Malaysia, Tunisia, Cote d'Ivoire. India. Morocco, Pakistan, Philippines, Sri Lanka, Swaziland. Tanzania, Togo, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan), we find that bitcoin

d.” The countries with the most long-term economic growth potential are arguably those with young, growing populations—namely, India, Indone- sia and Malaysia. However, these countries have small eq- uity markets that, when combined, do not even equal South Korea's in size. CAPE ratios are lower outside th

om oil to copper. The U.S. reflation expectation also boosted the greenback. European sovereign bond yields and the euro declined after ECB President Draghi announced a reduction in monthly asset purchases starting in 2018, but promised a longer duration of QE. China completed its quinquennial leadership

, such as relaxing the capital key or buying below the depo rate. QE tapering is therefore a risk and the market could start testing the ECB. Even if Draghi succeeds, the Euro could strengthen in the meantime. In contrast, the Bo)’s new framework should address the sustainability challenges that Kuroda fa

ents to rotate without too much disruption. We would expect China’s inclusion to account for 10% of the JPM GBI-EM Global Diversified index. Turkey, Malaysia, S. Africa, and Thailand would lose the largest shares in the index, while the shares of Brazil, Mexico, Poland and Indonesia are expected to remain