Epstein Secrets

-11 Jan-12 Sell Calls on 10yr Treasuries 4.5% - 4.0% 3.5% 3.0% - 2.5% - 2.0% • 1.5% - 1.0% • Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 —10yr US Treasury %IC Source: Bloomberg, J.P. Morgan 10 Buy MXN Peso 16 - 15 • 14 13 - 12 11 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 —Mexi

FX is ELMI+ in $. 16 2.0% Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Dec-11 S&P 500 Sector Performance Utilities 14.8% Consumer Staples 10.5% Health Care 10.2% Consumer Discretionary 4.4% Energy 2.8% Information Technology 1.3% Telecommunication Services 0.8% S&P 500 0.0% Industrials -2.9%

10yr Treasury - TIPS spread 5yr Treasury yield 30yr Treasury yield Fed Fund Rate 2015 End (Futures) Fed Fund Rate 2016 End (Futures) Duration US Treasury yield curve slope (10-2yr) US Treasury yield curve slope (10-5yr) Credit Corporate IG credit spreads (bps) Financial Industrial Financial sprea

markets. Industrials companies reported weak results and guidance. Sizable beats from Tech giants GOOG, MSFT & AMZN brightened 3Q earnings season. Health Care companies (PFE, BMY, GILD, BAX) had large beats on both EPS and sales. Large Oil & Gas companies (XOM, CVX, MPC, VLO) had big beats on EPS on very

nce in the health system in order to enhance % of Healthcare facilities reporting comprehensive % 10 100 NA 10

5-25 -23~—s -20 -19 25-26 Other assets -4 “1-11-10 11-1 -11 -11— 11 memo: Identified Saudi Arabian and Middle Eastern holdings in the US Saudi Arabia US Treasury (UST) holdings 51 46 8 69 68 £76 80 91 109 Long-term securities 50 45 82 68 67 74 78 88 107 Short-term securities 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 2 Saudi Arabia hold

tax of overseas earnings of US firms’ subsidiaries at reduced rates. Non-Financials in the S&P hold at least $1.2tn in overseas cash (mostly Tech and Health Care). If half was used for buybacks, this could add 3% ($4) to S&P 500 EPS. A redux of 2004 where companies used 80% of cash for buybacks may be less lik

nonprofit educational facilities Education 660 Special Blue Cross/Blue Shield tax benefits Health 630 Source: BofAML US Equity & Quant Strategy, US Department of Treasury Immediate capex expensing should provide some initial cash tax benefits The shift to the immediate expensing of capital expenditures should provide

deserves a larger premium. ¢ We continue to like Healthcare as it offers solid long-term earnings prospects w

uld spike. Note: Scenarios refer to global economic scenarios (see slide 7) What we're watching Why it matters Core market yields The direction of US Treasury and German Bund yields are important for EM fixed income spreads, especially for USD- and EUR-denominated bonds. Key date: Dec 6, European Central Ba