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odel of MXN weekly returns including Trump We estimate a model of MXN returns with standard financial fundamentals that also includes Donald Trump’s RealClearPolitics polling average in the US presidential election. It is generally accepted now that Trump’s chances in the US election have been a major driver of the
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Donald Trump
PersonPresident of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)

Bill Clinton
PersonPresident of the United States from 1993 to 2001 (born 1946)
Claudio Irigoyen
PersonPh.D. The University of Chicago 2003
Ezequiel Aguirre
PersonArgentine professional footballer

Hillary Clinton
PersonAmerican politician and diplomat (born 1947)

Adarsh Sinha
Personjes Bankof
Person
Ralph Axel
PersonAmerican interest rate strategist
John Shin
PersonResearcher
Vadim laralov
PersonRuben Segura
Person
Mark Capleton
PersonSouth Korean-Canadian rapper
Kamal Sharma
PersonIndian politician (1970–2019)
Myria Kyriacou
PersonTony Morriss
PersonShusuke Yamada
PersonJapanese family name (山田)
David Hauner
PersonBofA Merrill Lynch Global Credit Research
Organization
jes Bankof America
OrganizationThe Bank of Mexico
Organization