e assumes declines of 12%, and estimate a 1% revision to the assumed decline to result in a swing of - 125 Mb/d to our 2017 outlook. [ Figure 115: North Sea Production Outlook, 2014-2020e {MM.° 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 o • 2014 Figure 116: Production by type (area chart of onshore vs. shallow vs, deepwater (M