ss, 1967); asabiyyah, xi; 152; stages, pp. 140-42 and passim. [2] Excellent articles: Peter Turchin, "Scientific Prediction in Historical Sociology: Ibn IChaldfin meets Al Saud." in Peter Turchin, Leonid Grinin, Andrae Korataev, and Victor C. de Munk. History and Mathematics: Historical Development of Complex