an University Professor at UPennsylvania; past President, Society of Judgment and Decision Making • Philip Tetlock, Political and Social Scientist; Annenberg University Professor at UPenn; Author, Expert Political Judgment • Anne Treisman, James S. McDonnell Distinguished University Professor Emeritus of Psychology

iple and profound. With some confidence, we can predict that another =andmark of applied social science will soon be reached." PHILIP E. TETLOCK is Annenberg University Professor at the University of =ennsylvania (School of Arts and Sciences and Wharton School). He is =uthor of Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is

an University Professor at =Pennsylvania; past President, Society of Judgment and Decision =aking •=Philip Tetlock, Political and Social Scientist; Annenberg University =rofessor at UPenn; Author, Expert Political Judgment • Anne Treisman, =ames S. McDonnell Distinguished University Professor Emeritus of =sychology