past, there have been several studies that show the strength of a recovery is highly correlated with the depth of the prior recession. According to Macroeconomic Advisors and Michael Mussa of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, if history is to repeat itself, real GDP growth in the US would exceed 6%

ver the last few months. DB's Joe Lavorgna po=nts out that since October 2012, when the vendor responsible for compiling the ADP survey changed from Macroeconomic Advisors to Moody's, the 2 EFTA_R1_00121221 EFTA01791327 ab=olute forecast miss between ADP and private payrolls has been just 38k. Looking just at the l