Source Entry: H\Macintosh HD\ root \Users\jee\Library\Messages\Archive\2019-07-05\Larry Summers on 2019-06-13 at 13.16.44.ichat Service: iMessag Start Time: 06/14/19 01:45:35 PM (582237935) End Time: 07/05/19 01:27:01 PM (584051221) Last Message ID: 31810 Chat Room: Participants: jee, Larry Summers Presentity IDs: e:[email protected], Po Messages - Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/14/19 01:45:35 PM (582237935) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No , GUID: F6A49ADE-D7A7-45B6-A2C0-21EFA54 9A8BB Message: in paris, weather great Sender: iy Time: 06/15/19 06:35:48 AM (582298548) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: 38066713-F526-4190-8AC8-764528A08BO0A Message: I 11 call bit later. Would u continue to dictating op Ed's for peril? Think she was off w some guy falling in love w Buddhist art? Not sure who or what. sender: Time: 06/15/19 06:48:40 AM (582299320) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: CA84COAF-AE81-454A-9DB6-4CE8C5A72F07 Message: Drake equation probability estimation is garbage in garbage out but this not same thing as saying concept of a probability is wrong. Do I think meaningful to talk about prob of trump being r lected or my getting horizontal w peril which are one shots. Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/15/19 06:54:47 AM (582299687) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_027777

GUID: CCIFD992-B400-4122-901D-C9381A8DFB43 Message: Cannot use the concept of probability with only one example and not a repeated space . Gromov said its a question his children might ask and hopefully only once ! Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/15/19 06:56:21 AM (582299781) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 7E3BDC8C-5EBO-471E-A8CD-4C8B42E29146 Message: Ill have red ink on my summer s dollar thank you. -It should be a ten as you did add - with gusto-jeffrey , that is REALLY stupid Time: 06/15/19 06:57:46 AM (582299866) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: SFI40C9E-862B-49B2-BD06-60639A071A5C T, Message: Don't know Gromov. This is clearly wrong. Soviet doctrinaire sounds like. Dou think Question of prob that stock market will rise till end of 2019 is meaningless? You have one strong willed authority with achievements in some other sphere. So what. Time: 06/15/19 06:58:41 AM (582299921) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: 98D6EDO0-1E04-4E53-A9DC-8169CE4D9872 Message: U r better a understanding movemen understanding Chinese women than at probability theory. At of money too. Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/15/19 07:07:53 AM (582300473) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: B93C1B4A-E109-491F-8679-CCB455F0C50D Message: The stock market models as a contiuous function. With a history and many past events . More like what is the probability you being reincarnated Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/15/19 07:09:47 AM (582300587) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_027778

Is Invitation: No Tr IEF 5-4BA4-96DF-14D6F4E7285E GUID: FDEEA9DA Message: Im more concerned that it may be like the probability of you in bed again with peril. Time: 06/15/19 07:21:46 AM (582301306) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: 483E68C9-192F-4ACE-9A21-9571C845544B Message: Uh oh. Lhopital s rule Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/15/19 07:33:00 AM (582301980) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: AlLIES8FA-FC89-4549-AC92-6F9104243756 Message: Not exactly getting within the limit is NOT the same as IN Time: 06/15/19 07:34:41 AM (582302081) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: BF86BF7/2-356F-4488-86FA-10A007F4D403 Message: Just called Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/15/19 07:47:07 AM (582302827) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 72118E11-CDA2-41B5-88CB-4B89300C7C60 Message: Try now sender: Time: 06/15/19 08:26:49 AM (582305209) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: B93ED8FC-2C3C-42A4-9460-2E7A6B5AD836 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_027779

Message: Just tried back Time: 06/15/19 08:34:09 AM (582305649) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: CA6AD780-021E-479B-AB99-585E0F40ABD7 £ Message: U called but I couldn't hear anything Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/15/19 12:44:21 PM (582320661) Flags: 1150981 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 8123FEC4-499A-4091-A81A-DA5CB3C7E6DE Message: https://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2019/06/15/us/15reuters-new-jersey airport.html?action=clickéamp;module=Latesté& pgtype=Homepage Sender: iy Time: 06/15/19 03:37:15 PM (582331035) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: 7AF77F43-6258-4EBC-8EB6-09ACB3C11340 Message: Got it Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/15/19 04:54:09 PM (582335649) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No = GUID: D5847834-B107-44B6-A639-5C38FEE110AB Message: Subjective probability is a type of probability derived from an individual's personal judgment or own experience about whether a specific outcome is likely to occur. It contains no formal calculations and only reflects the subject's opinions and past experience rather than on data or computation. Subjective probabilities differ from person to person and contain a high degree of personal bias. Time: 06/15/19 05:11:12 PM (582336672) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_027780

GUID: E93782E1-FOO0E-470F-8EA8-—5944E5C8AEE w Message: This is silly. Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/15/19 05:13:45 PM (582336825) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No 5 GUID: 28EDD23F-F776-4DFC-8BF5-C1CEF2FFB997 Message: Exactly sender: Time: 06/16/19 07:45:26 AM (582389126) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: E6D323ED-E87A-4055-886B-C3DC71044C6C Message: Later. In meantime, strategy w peril? Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/16/19 07:46:46 AM (582389206) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 0020441A-FB79-47DB-B899-705A12C6C659 Message: Continue to dictate -little downside Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/16/19 07:48:19 AM (582389299) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 9ERE6EACO-3143-409D-9585-F917C3B94803 Message: Re later you can read up on questions -re life on other planets described as "subjective probability " ie . Total nonsense Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/16/19 07:48:35 AM (582389315) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 1F69910C-BE39-45BB-AB77-6F1B32EA5516 Message: Red ink HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_027781

Time: 06/16/19 07:51:37 AM (582389497) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: E3EC6FAD-5540-4788-AF64-44F27E630B1F Message: Sounds like u r pessimistic re peril but agree. I think my injury is kind of xogenous event u said would change game. On other hand life has lots of bounces. Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/16/19 07:52:10 AM (582389530) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 2774B3F8-481B-462A-BB3F-59EBAOF7C23F Message: Not at all. Long game Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/16/19 07:53:30 AM (582389610) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 10767735-679A-4A23-B2D5-25696C9CB759 Message: Im rarely pessimistic, i wonder what the probability is? Or in this case as it is a binary decision appropriate to use " odds" sender: Time: 06/16/19 07:57:23 AM (582389843) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: 318A9F80-A641-481D-8ACF-F85D91C7E327 Message: On subjective probability, I think life on other planets complex example. Is stock market one continuous event with much Or is this moment unique. If u grant meaningfulness if talking odds on one off events we are down to semantics. Where u say odds I say subjective probability. If u are rarely pessimistic does that discredit your optimism. Suppose instead of peril it was dunking a basketball or going to an island w Angela Jolie sender: Time: 06/16/19 08:04:21 AM (582390261) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_027782

GUID: 72603E56-0703-400E-B4CC-2E3FE85F627D Tr Message: ? Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/16/19 08:06:22 AM (582390382) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 669FD7/759-B135-4C2C-AA9B-33783DE756CB Message: Odds are limited to binary outcomes. . since you are immobile. Do some homework. . I concede your point on pessimism but would under bayesian rules. Feel comfortable. As humans are biased toward bad outcome avoidance. . She is never ever going to find another Larry summers. Probability ZERO Sender: iy Time: 06/16/19 08:16:09 AM (582390969) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: CCD605A6-90D4-484F-A2D8-0269C171FFC3 Message: That can't be right. There are odds on dem nominee w many outcomes possible. For objective or subjective probability u need well defined events. Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/16/19 12:55:05 PM (582407705) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: FD3E312C-E378-4798-8885-BE441B3BE005 Message: When are you able to walk again without crutches. : Its wholly impolite for me to mentally attack a cripple Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/16/19 12:57:14 PM (582407834) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 615FEF51-9D4D-4629-B310-A900B300FI fl ~l oO Message: Handicapped , not cripple Time: 06/16/19 01:15:31 PM (582408931) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_027783

Is Invitation: No GUID: 55CO8F2F-4921-429B-8E52-CFA0C94185E8 Message: 6 or 7 weeks. Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/16/19 01:16:45 PM (582409005) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: O E3C66A8-55B9-4760-B4AF-7970FCOCSBE4 Message: On tues. I ll have the math professor explain to you some things. And then wait until you are unable to claim your arguments were driven by the high level of pain killers. . on peril. Forced holding pattern in your interest Sender: Time: 06/16/19 01:21:58 PM (582409318) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: BIFO44A8-CA51-4D8C-Bé6éD8-04615DC230FE Message: Why in my interest. Odds of success. I think another encounter at some point one third. Sustained series one fifth. Best shot for me. She gives up on marriage. Finds me invaluable and interesting and get her to conclude she can't have it without romance/sex without deciding I'm weak or vengeful Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/16/19 01:26:05 PM (582409565) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: O0H98C824-A354-4D17-BOE8-984267E20828 Message: Over time. She is doomed to be with you Sender: Time: 06/16/19 01:27:02 PM (582409622) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: OFEO4027-6AAD-48B6-BD4A-6A22E6F76D10 Message: Unless she marries someon ise. She is more monogamous than most Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/16/19 01:28:22 PM (582409702) Flags: 1085445 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_027784

Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 8ECC4603-FO1F-48BC-9FEB-5A2ACAF4E71E Message: Painkillers? Time: 06/16/19 01:47:00 PM (582410820) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: B3872E56-E3F0-4814-A9FA-46920060C108 Message: Not for me?? Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/16/19 01:47:53 PM (582410873) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No | co GUID: 8F38D70D-9002-4745-B48C-DO04C 90ACFE3I Message: Your views formed by your meds? sender: Time: 06/16/19 09:01:18 PM (582436878) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No Pe GUID: 4ECF37F0-A4AE-4885-A68B-98CFE7DDBEDO Message: Not formed by meds. Other than being a Bayesian rather than a pure math freak which wrong view do I have Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/17/19 02:21:14 AM (582456074) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 2950BBD5-5155-4457-9BFA-AEA06DF00685 Message: She continues to be in contact Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/17/19 02:22:23 AM (582456143) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_027785

GUID: 50B6A567-D38D-474B-8B64-6BFF49FC250F Message: Things are good - davos is set for you / she is there because program person is chinese Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/17/19 02:22:35 AM (582456155) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 33B3A9A3-FC94-453C-AF86-1295DB1E1C48 Message: Funny Time: 06/17/19 05:33:18 AM (582467598) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No ral GUID: OA6B17B8-3321-45D7-A89F-FO17B93D1EAD Message: Thx re davos. Happy to help re g20 Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/23/19 11:09:56 PM (583049396) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: C50180EF-188F-4DAB-ADE5-D3 9F692B6F86 Message: How are you Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/24/19 02:05:02 AM (583059902) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: E6C43F7E-89F8-4F76-9C4D-CA2 66DE55C32 r Message: If Bernie were to cancel all student debt. . how Is that reflected on govt books/ ? Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/24/19 02:05:13 AM (583059913) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: DE927EA4-90AF-4208-884F-OA4A4618B044 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_027786

Message: Do the borrowers get income? Sender: iy Time: 06/24/19 02:20:43 AM (583060843) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: AD8C74A6-F051-46 5 1E-918D-68EC6C523DC2 Message: I doubt borrowers get income but not certain. If they did many who struggle w debt service would get a whopping tax bill. I suspect a balance sheet impact but not a deficit impact. Depends on whether it's framed as a give away or recognition of reality. Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/24/19 03:34:39 AM (583065279) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 48EA89F5-E85B-4C78-B4DF-EOB69FACFO044 Message: How's the rehab. ? Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/24/19 03:36:24 AM (583065384) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 3B57FEAA-6429-442D-A7F8-CO5796E4AD53 Message: My mathemactics guys. All said the propensity of the common man to put numbers on things where they don't belong is the answer to the odds probability questions et. Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/24/19 03:40:53 AM (583065653) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 31778953-399A-4E04-9369-3450804DDD47 Message: Send peril flowers Sender: iy Time: 06/24/19 04:13:47 AM (583067627) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: 38694F4C-1706-42EB-B © 1E4-C30647C04878 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_027787

Message: Your math guys are not that worldly. I 11 call u later Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/24/19 09:56:28 AM (583088188) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 80BA418D-D8FA-4C95-AF99-A455AFD5C2D8 Message: Ok Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/30/19 04:25:52 AM (583586752) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 0152C521-06F9-4B7/0-87E4-OAS5F2B6CE778 Message: ?? U ok? Sender: Time: 06/30/19 04:27:03 AM (583586823) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: 34975246-52F0-4BED-9DA1-4D227ED75480 Message: Yes. Sorry I will update you on developments. Will Ehud Be PM Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/30/19 04:28:53 AM (583586933) Flags: 1150981 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 36171A28-D8BA-45D8-B40E-300F6682DBD5 Message: 331 441 70210. Doubtful. But 1. Unlikely top job. But depends on coalition. Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/30/19 09:27:53 AM (583604873) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 8858FAEF-7407-42E8-9B54-16B1C044A762 Message: ? He is not to be underestimated. 2x Bw Driving me crazy HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_027788

sender: iy Time: 06/30/19 11:35:11 AM (583612511) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: 2B11E6E5-AE97-4B63-B22 9-9C2321147250 Message: Tried back Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/30/19 11:39:15 AM (583612755) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 55ABB821-38D7/-41ED-807F-3EDAC529F483 Message: I just tried back Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/30/19 11:53:56 AM (583613636) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 968D4EA4-D7EA-4FA0-9569-960737DDFD91 Message: Try again Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 07/05/19 10:39:45 AM (584041185) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 7D9ESCF8-5797-4B7D-AF38-9675678DAAAC Message: All good? Time: 07/05/19 10:46:39 AM (584041599) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: 8A8FC2E2-375B-4C4E-AEA0-99A3D8E62484 Message: At cape w mother brothers kids and nephews nieces. Time: 07/05/19 10:46:57 AM (584041617) Bit of an Ibsen play. HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_027789

Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: C174D188-3910-4962-9DC5-FDADSBA4EE22 Message: With perspective all good. Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 07/05/19 10:47:02 AM (584041622) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: Bé2E8C28-26EB-4B3A-8D33-F9EF408 9E61B Message: Better than checov sender: Time: 07/05/19 10:47:40 AM (584041660) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: 09552BA8-0291-4AE6-8605-47934CB6650! Gl Message: Then I may misunderstand checov. Sender: iy Time: 07/05/19 10:47:46 AM (584041666) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No r, GUID: 812B5A5E-49DA-4 9AA-81B7-5A24A93E49A5 Message: Or Ibsen Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 07/05/19 10:50:07 AM (584041807) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 2B15A5DE-CE18-4CD2-B85D-4F4B682E5F8A Message: E. J. Dillon thought "the effect on the reader of Chekhov's tales was repulsion at the gallery of human waste represented by his fickle, spineless, drifting people" Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 07/05/19 10:54:34 AM (584042074) Flags: 1085445 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_027790

Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: CA40 Message: Lapdog"), B43B-C34D-412F-828D-D91149 "The Lady with the Dog" [91] EOLELF (also translated from the Russian as "Lady with [92] which depicts what at first seems a casual liaison between a cynical married man and a woman who meet while holidaying in Yalta. Neither expects anything lasting from the encounter. end up risking captures their disillusioned Unexpectedly though, they gradually fall deeply in love and scandal and the security of their family lives. The story masterfully feelings for each other, the inner transformation undergone by the male protagonist as a result of falling deeply in love, and their inability to resolve the mat other. [93] Time: 07/05/19 12:13:27 PM Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: 57F5DB7E-F55D-4287-B550-D7DB85D4662! Message: ter by Jesus! !!! Sender: Time: 07/05/19 12:14:24 PM :[email protected] Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No ither letting go of their families or of each (584046807) Gl (584046864) GUID: FFC163A3-94A4-4FA7-A210-9BO586E17CFC Message: I think you meant. Time: 07/05/19 01:27:01 PM Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No Budhha (584051221) GUID: 98C92041-A5A0-4490-9351-D4AA8AC96500 Message: Ha HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_027791