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EM 20 1.8 2.7 32 0.6 02 2.4 2.3 2.9 51 5.6 4 5.1 4.2 Czech Reputio -0.9 2.8 2.8 6A 32 jj) 2.0 2.3 42 1.1 0.2 4 1.6 4 1.5 Hungary 1.1 30 25 2.7 45 21 2.0 2.5 30 03 -OA 4 0.6 4 2.9 t Israel 3.4 3.3 3.8 32 2.7 3.2 3.6 45 32 1.9 1.0 1.3 1.9 Pdand IS 32
regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Brazil: Banco J.P. Morgan S.A. is regulated by the Comissao de Velem% Mobiliarios (CVM) and by the Central Bank of Brazil. Mexico: J.P. Morgan Casa de Boise, S.A. de C.V., J.P. Morgan Grupo Financier° is a member of the Mexican Stock Exchange and authorized to act as a
United Krgdom 01 00 1.8 -12 -1.5 Emerging Europe 41 2.6 2.61 2,4 1.3 Bulgaria 1.7 1.0 1.5 Czech Republic 1.7 -1.1 0.9 -3.1 -0.8 Hungary 1.6 -12 0.5 -3.5 09 Poland 4.3 2.3 1.81 2.4 11 Romania 2.5 00 0.8 0.5 1$ Russa 4.3 3.6 3.0 3.7 IS Turkey 8.5 2.8 3/ Globa
regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Brazil: Banco J.P. Morgan S.A. is regulated by the Comissao de Valens Mobiliarios (CVM) and by the Central Bank of Brazil. Mexico: J.P. Morgan Casa de Bolsa. S.A. de Morgan Grope Financiero is a member of the Mexican Stock Exchange and authorized to act as a broker dea
2.6 3.6 3.0 5.0 5.8 5.8 5.1 Bulgaria 1.7 0.7 1.5 Czech Republic 1.9 -1.1 0.0 -1.6 -1.3 -1.6 0.0 0.8 2.4 1.4 3.4 2.7 2.2 2.4 Hungary 1.6 -1.4 0.0 .1A -0.7 •1.0 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.0 5.5 5.5 3.7 3.9 Poland 4.3 2.1 1.6 0.8 1.6 0.5 1.3 2.3 3.0 2.3 4.0 2.9 1.9 2.
is regulated by thc Securities and Exchange Commission. Brazil: Banco M. Morgan S.A. is regulated by the Comissao de Valera Mobiliarios (CVM) and by the Central Bank of Brazil. Mexico: • Morgan Casa de Bolus. S.A. de C.V.... Morgan Grupo Financier° is a member of the Mexican Stock Exchange and authorized to act as a broker
s, FX & EM 2017 Year Ahead | 16 November 2016 BankofAmerica <2” Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014734 --- PAGE BREAK --- currencies. The fact that the Central Bank of Brazil will be looking to cut rates in the face of a Fed tightening cycle makes the BRL especially vulnerable in 2017. We would recommend buying MXN against
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014735 →ad | 16 November 2016 43 Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014773 --- PAGE BREAK --- Chart 73: Fundamentals — CEE beats periphery Chart 74: Poland and Hungary wide relative to Chart 75: HUF vol lagging EUR and PLN Italy and Spain 190% 5% 12 140% ©) am "8 @ | 3% 90% ® ay 10 40% 1% -10% 0% 5 Spain France P
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014774 →4 13 0.4. 1.8) 27. 24. 3.7 / 64 5.0 60. 63 T Bulgaria wi 0 1.5 a a a we a a a a a a a Czech Republic d -11 0.9 -3.1 -08 -12 -13 21 1.0 43 24 34 29 24 Hungary 6 12 0.5 3.5 -0.9 -1.0 -10 1.0 15 8 44 55 58 47 Poland 43 23 1.61 24 16 0.5 0.5 4 1.34 23. 3.0. 46 40 3.1 25 Romania 25 0.0 0.8 0.5 1.9 -24 12 1.2 -0
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026577 →regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Brazil: Banco J.P. Morgan S.A. is regulated by the Comissao de Valores Mobiliarios (CVM) and by the Central Bank of Brazil. Mexico: J.P. Morgan Casa de Bolsa, S.A. de C.V., J.P. Morgan Grupo Financiero is a member of the Mexican Stock Exchange and authorized to act as a b
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026578 →an Thailand Africa/Middle East Israel South Africa Europe Euro area Germany France Italy Spain United Kingdom Emerging Europe Bulgaria Czech Republic Hungary Poland Romania Russia Turkey Global Developed markets Emerging markets Source: J.P. Morgan 6 1.8 2.6 8.9 2.7 5.9 6.6 8.0 3.9 6.9 5.7 4.2 4.7 -0.5 2.4
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_030853 →regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Brazil: Banco J.P. Morgan S.A. is regulated by the Comissao de Valores Mobiliarios (CVM) and by the Central Bank of Brazil. Mexico: J.P. Morgan Casa de Bolsa, S.A. de C.V., J.P. Morgan Grupo Financiero is a member of the Mexican Stock Exchange and authorized to act as a b
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_030854 →Entities connected to both Hungary and the Central Bank of Brazil

Romania
LOCATION
Bulgaria
LOCATION
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Czech Republic
LOCATION
Malaysia
LOCATION
United States
LOCATION
Philippines
LOCATION
Donald Trump
PERSON
New Zealand
LOCATION
George W. Bush
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Barack Obama
PERSON
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION
Columbia University
LOCATION
Chile
LOCATION
Venezuela
LOCATION
Bill Clinton
PERSON
Joe Biden
PERSON
Ecuador
LOCATION
Condoleezza Rice
PERSON
Eric Trump
PERSON