Epstein Secrets

Eye on the Market July 11, 2011 J.P.Morgan Topics: Portfolios, US corporate profits and the Twilight of the Gods in the US, Europe, China and the IEA) Here's what our U.S. Balanced portfolio l

, 5% Balanced Diversified Model Portfolio Hedge Funds, _Private equity, 6% 5% Real Estate Single Strategy 3% Hard Assets, Hedge Funds, 4% 18% Source: J.P. Morgan Private Bank, as of July 2011. These portfolios may not be suitable for all investors & are shown for illustrative purposes only PROFITS The primary (and perhaps

decade. Some of these assumptions seem aggressive to apply in perpetuity. HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_030808 --- PAGE BREAK --- Eye on the Market July 11, 2011 J.P.Morgan Topics: Portfolios, US corporate profits and the Twilight of the Gods in the US, Europe, China and the IEA) Hourly compensation for production worker

goods from China, Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam, percent 25% • 2005 • 2011E 20% - 15% 10% 5% 0% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 1 2% 0% Taiwan Mexico China Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Empirical Research Partners. Philippines 2000 2007 2010 Source: UN Comtrade, Empirical Research Partners. To summarize, we expect today's margins to

gn debt restructuring within the next 18 months (see chart from "Five Stages of Greece", June 30, 2011). Michael Cembalest Chief Investment Officer * JP Morgan's Prime Money Market Fund is indicative of industry concerns about a liquidity squeeze. The fund holds no Greece, Portugal, Ireland or Spain. Its Italy

1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 1954 1967 1981 1995 2008 Source: DepartmentofLabor, BLS, Empirical Research Partners. Source: CBO, BEA, OMB, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. ' Our chief economist Michael Vaknin has analyzed the various seasonal adjustments that the Bureau of Labor Statistics uses when it reports payroll

Eye on the Market | March 15, 2012 J.P Morgan Topics: Is US data as good as it looks? Is Chinese data as bad as it looks? Is European data as bizarre as it looks? What a diff’rence a day makes.

h Partners. Source: CBO, BEA, OMB, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. ' Our chief economist Michael Vaknin has analyzed the various seasonal adjustments that the Bureau of Labor Statistics uses when it reports payrolls. After adjusting for better weather, the Lehman shock and other factors, payroll growth does not look quite as good as

oduction Source: Nationa Bureau of Statistics, PROC, China Automotive Information, China Economic Information Network, CLSA-Markit, Haver Analytics. J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, ISI Group, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. * PMI data areindexlevel. Housingprice toincome, cement production and steel productionare as of

ient and is serviced through distinct legal entities licensed for specific activities. Bank, trust and investment management services are provided by J.P. Morgan Chase Bank, N.A, and its affiliates. Securities are offered through J.P. Morgan Securities LLC (JPMS), Member NYSE, FINRA and SIPC. Securities products purchased or

tained herein is intended as a general market commentary. Opinions expressed herein are those of Michael Cembalest and may differ from those of other J.P. Morgan employees and affiliates. This information in no way constitutes J.P. Morgan research and should not be treated as such. Further, the views ex

nd." OFFICE SPACE The "office in Epstein's house. It has no computers. but it does have a desk that Epstein tells people once belonged to banker J. P. Morgan. and "the Largest Persian rug you'll ever see in a pmate home." Sources say Epstein proved that he could be useful to Wexner as well. with "fresh"

nking and I know when I need to be fast. It's a nice roll we are on." Chart/Photo: "The Cost of 'Help"' Notes a secretary might make. (Sources by Bureau of Labor Statistics; executive recruiters)(pg. C10) Copyrioht 2006 The New York Times ComeauI laingy2gailcl I Home I Search I Correctional Ma 1 Back to Top http://sel

Eye on the Market | april 9, 2012 J.P Morgan Q&A on the USA, with a watchful eye on the risk of giant man-eating plants; Spain Our view for 2012 was that economic and equity market conditions

SAAR million units 1.0 10 0.5 0.0 -0.5 mJapan -1.0 mUS+Other -1.5 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: BEA/Wards, DB, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. Box indicates impact Source: DB, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. Shadings indicate Cash for of Japanese earthquake. Clunkers and Japanese earthquake, resp

c-12 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: CBO, Bloomberg. Assumes CBO Alternative Case for estimates. Source: Federal Reserve Board ,Bureau of Labor Statistics . They are amazing, but no one knows how long they can be sustained. Even Summers and DeLong concede that “even if it is granted that the stimulus c

ient and is serviced through distinct legal entities licensed for specific activities. Bank, trust and investment management services are provided by JP Morgan Chase Bank, N.A, and its affiliates. Securities are offered through J.P. Morgan Securities LLC (JPMS), Member NYSE, FINRA and SIPC, and its affiliates globally as lo

tained herein is intended as a general market commentary. Opinions expressed herein are those of Michael Cembalest and may differ from those of other J.P. Morgan employees and affiliates. This information in no way constitutes J.P. Morgan research and should not be treated as such. Further, the views ex

re I oversaw $16 billion in private and institutional client assets, I want to briefly introduce myself in my new role as Chief Investment Officer of the J.P. Morgan Private Bank. I've been part of the investment and strategy team at the Private Bank since 2004, when I returned to the firm to work with Michael Cembalest as he

loomberg. Data as of November 2012. U.S. inflation is not yet troubling U.S. CPl YoY NSA 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% -1% -2% -3% 2009 2010 2011 Source: Bloomberg, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Data as of November 2012. 2012 Now what? We invest with a 12-month outlook, but also take advantage of short-term trading opportunities. But to borr

s flagship emerging markets mutual fund. He was also a senior member of the firm's investment committee. Before joining Offitbank, Richard worked for J.P. Morgan's Investment Banking division in New York in the emerging markets securities business. He previously spent six years with Citicorp, first as a banker i