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up the bills. Either is likely to hurt Republican support in these states. Tax reform: BAT won’t kill it The proposed border adjustment tax in the Ryan-Brady plan has been attracting a lot of attention lately. Although we have concerns about some specific aspects of the proposal (which we will discus
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014725 →imports are subject to VAT. These facts together make it very apparent that both the case for tax reform and support for tax reform are very strong. Paul Ryan said on January 26 after the Republican retreat in Philadelphia that they “aspire” to pass tax reforms by August. Bankof America <> Merrill Lynch Ca
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014725 →ynch (Singapore) are ralia) and Merrill Lynch Equities (Australia) Limited (ABN 65 006 276 795), AFS the Corporations Act 2001. With the exception of BANA Australia, neither MLEA nor der the Banking Act 1959 nor regulated by the Australian Prudential Regulation ribution is by Merrill Lynch (Brazil) in accordance
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014729 →Quantitative Analysis
arkets. Much has been written on the timing, funding and process by which corporate tax reform could be enacted. In this report, we use House Speaker Paul Ryan’s Blueprint proposal as a starting point in quantifying the impact of corporate tax reform on the S&P 500, with some scenario analysis to account for
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023071 →thus remain parked offshore, allowing corporations to avoid the tax hit associated with bringing them back to the US. Both Trump and the House (under Ryan) have proposed a mandatory tax of overseas earnings of US firms’ foreign subsidiaries at reduced rates, such that this cash can be brought back and p
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023074 →35132 (MLEA) distribute this report in Australia only to ‘Wholesale’ clients as defined by s.761G of the Corporations Act 2001. With the exception of BANA Australia, neither MLEA nor any of its affiliates involved in preparing this research report is an Authorised Deposit- Taking Institution under the Banking Act
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023094 →eing reversed is the kind of thing which Alastair Ryan (our banks strategist) lies awake at night dreami
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014466 →ectively). MLIBLMB and Merrill Lynch (Singapore} are regulated by MAS. Bank of America N.A, Australian Branch (ARBN 064 874 531), AFS License 412901 (BANA Australia) and Merrill Lynch Equities (Australia) Limited (ABN 65 006 276 795), AFS License 235132 (MLEA) distribute this report in Australia only to ‘Wholesal
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014496 →ch should be an attractive tailwind to DOV’s Energy segment. Tax Policy: Our estimates are based on 29% tax rate in ‘17/18. We calculate that under Ryan’s proposed plan, we can see about 19% upside to EPS. We estimate that under Trump’s proposed plan, we can see about 24% upside to EPS. Catalysts: J
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014625 →ectively). MLIBLMB and Merrill Lynch (Singapore} are regulated by MAS. Bank of America N.A, Australian Branch (ARBN 064 874 531), AFS License 412901 (BANA Australia) and Merrill Lynch Equities (Australia) Limited (ABN 65 006 276 795), AFS License 235132 (MLEA) distribute this report in Australia only to ‘Wholesal
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014650 →Earnings Preview
&S +1 415 676 3574 [email protected] Ryan Goodman, CFA Research Analyst MLPF&S +1 415 676
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014887 →ectively). MLIBLMB and Merrill Lynch (Singapore} are regulated by MAS. Bank of America N.A, Australian Branch (ARBN 064 874 531), AFS License 412901 (BANA Australia) and Merrill Lynch Equities (Australia) Limited (ABN 65 006 276 795), AFS License 235132 (MLEA) distribute this report in Australia only to ‘Wholesal
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014949 →Entities connected to both BANA Australia and Paul Ryan

Donald Trump
PERSON
Marc Rich
PERSON
Barack Obama
PERSON
United States
LOCATION
Bill Clinton
PERSON
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION
United Kingdom
LOCATION
U.S. Treasury
ORGANIZATION
Mobile
LOCATION
Columbia University
LOCATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Tokyo
LOCATION
Bahrain
LOCATION
North America
LOCATION
Seoul
LOCATION
Angela Merkel
PERSON
Bank of America Corporation
ORGANIZATION
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Bank of America
ORGANIZATION
Chile
LOCATION