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Merrill Lynch (Singapore) (Company Registration Nos F 06872E and 1986028830 respectively), MUBLMB and Merrill Lynch (Singaporelare regulated by MAS. Bank of America NA, Ausuahan Branch (AREW 064 874 531), AFS license 412901 ((ANA Australia) and Merrill Lynch Equities (Australia) Limited (ABM 65006 276 795), AFS Lic

ld stall or reverse. Even if nat gas prices were to increase sharply — 2013 -2016 -2014 -.-2017 18 Global Liquid Markets Weekly 124 July 2017 Bankof America ' Merrill Lynch EFTA00788492 from here, additional supplies would not come in time for the winter given an estimated six month lag from production

terest rate 7 Real 10 year yield based on headline CPI 6 5 4 3 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 —US —Japan —Euro Area Source Bloomberg Chart 12: The term premium means that currencies maintain a positive spread between their 2 year and their 10 year interest 2Y10

from the voters) or will we find relief for the markets if by the end of 2017 froma Fillon/Merkel duo being in charge of the two largest economies in the Euro Area. Recovery - the world looks a better place going into 2017 Reflation has been the big theme of the second half of the year. As we had noted in previ

obal Research Reversal: There is good taper and bad taper The outcome of that would likely affect ECB behaviour too. Our central expectation is for Euro Area growth of around 1 %% and inflation nudging only modestly higher. A much more robust global economy and a stronger USD (presumably weaker EUR} would

ariables like 10-year Treasury yields, gold and S/yen also hit oversold levels. The models are useful in isolation for highlighting any anomalies in Bankof America Merrill Lynch European Equity Strategy |01 December 2016 = 21 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014480 --- PAGE BREAK --- recent price action for individual assets. However, the

ur China ACT indicator continues to indicate steady growth there too. Our economists forecast 3.5% global GDP growth with EM growth around 4.7%. Our Euro Area growth numbers have been nudged back up towards 1 %% with Brexit not proving to be as much of a drag as feared. We still expect the UK economy to see

een improving Growth indicators have been improving around the world of late. Data since the US election would seem to support that with the PMIs in the Euro Area improving again and their equivalent in the US sustaining the gains seen last month. Our EM indicators remain robust and our China ACT indicator con

h Personnel (including the analyst(s) responsible for this report) receive compensation based upon, among other factors, the overall profitability of Bank of America Corporation, including profits derived from investment banking. The analyst(s) responsible for this report may also receive compensation based upon, a

errill Lynch (Singapore) (Company Registration Nos F 06872E and 198602883D respectively). MLIBLMB and Merrill Lynch (Singapore} are regulated by MAS. Bank of America N.A, Australian Branch (ARBN 064 874 531), AFS License 412901 (BANA Australia) and Merrill Lynch Equities (Australia) Limited (ABN 65 006 276 795), AFS L