3
Shared Docs
1
Same-Page
3 / 5
Mentions
Nacional del Mercado De Valores; Merrill Lynch (Brazil): Bank of America Merrill Lynch Banco Multiplo SA, regulated by Comissao de Yaores Mobiliario% Merrill Lynch KSA Company, Merrill Lynch Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Company. regulated by the Capital Market Authority. This research report has been approved for publication a
terest rate 7 Real 10 year yield based on headline CPI 6 5 4 3 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 —US —Japan —Euro Area Source Bloomberg Chart 12: The term premium means that currencies maintain a positive spread between their 2 year and their 10 year interest 2Y10
Investment Strategy
ur China ACT indicator continues to indicate steady growth there too. Our economists forecast 3.5% global GDP growth with EM growth around 4.7%. Our Euro Area growth numbers have been nudged back up towards 1 %% with Brexit not proving to be as much of a drag as feared. We still expect the UK economy to see
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014441 →een improving Growth indicators have been improving around the world of late. Data since the US election would seem to support that with the PMIs in the Euro Area improving again and their equivalent in the US sustaining the gains seen last month. Our EM indicators remain robust and our China ACT indicator con
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014441 →onal del Mercado De Valores; Merrill Lynch (Brazil): Bank of America Merrill Lynch Banco Multiplo S.A., regulated by Comissao de Valores Mobiliarios; Merrill Lynch KSA Company, ertill Lynch Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Company, regulated by the Capital Market Authority. This research report: has been approved for publication and
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014457 →from the voters) or will we find relief for the markets if by the end of 2017 froma Fillon/Merkel duo being in charge of the two largest economies in the Euro Area. Recovery - the world looks a better place going into 2017 Reflation has been the big theme of the second half of the year. As we had noted in previ
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014465 →obal Research Reversal: There is good taper and bad taper The outcome of that would likely affect ECB behaviour too. Our central expectation is for Euro Area growth of around 1 %% and inflation nudging only modestly higher. A much more robust global economy and a stronger USD (presumably weaker EUR} would
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014466 →onal del Mercado De Valores; Merrill Lynch (Brazil}: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Banco Multiplo S.A., regulated by Comissdo de Valores Mobiliarios; Merrill Lynch KSA Company, errill Lynch Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Company, regulated by the Capital Market Authority. This research report: has been approved for publication and
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014496 →Entities connected to both Merrill Lynch KSA Company and Euro Area

Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATION
Bank of America
ORGANIZATIONthe Securities and Futures Bureau
ORGANIZATION
United Kingdom
LOCATIONPierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated
ORGANIZATIONThe Financial Service Board
ORGANIZATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSONMerrill Lynch Canada Inc
ORGANIZATIONMerchant Bank
ORGANIZATIONthe Central Bank of Ireland
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch Argentina SA
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch International Bank Limited
ORGANIZATIONDSP Merrill Lynch Limited
ORGANIZATION
Seoul
LOCATION
the Financial Services Agency
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management
ORGANIZATION
Frankfurt
LOCATIONMerrill Lynch International Incorporated
ORGANIZATION
Donald Trump
PERSONBank of America Merrill Lynch International Limited
ORGANIZATION