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Quantitative Analysis
arkets. Much has been written on the timing, funding and process by which corporate tax reform could be enacted. In this report, we use House Speaker Paul Ryan’s Blueprint proposal as a starting point in quantifying the impact of corporate tax reform on the S&P 500, with some scenario analysis to account for
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023071 →thus remain parked offshore, allowing corporations to avoid the tax hit associated with bringing them back to the US. Both Trump and the House (under Ryan) have proposed a mandatory tax of overseas earnings of US firms’ foreign subsidiaries at reduced rates, such that this cash can be brought back and p
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023074 →anch}, regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA); Merrill Lynch (Spain): Merrill Lynch Capital Markets Espana, S.AS.V., regulated by Comisién Nacional del Mercado De Valores; Merrill Lynch (Brazil): Bank of America Merrill Lynch Banco Multiplo S.A., regulated by Comissao de Valores Mobiliarios; Merrill Lynch KSA Company,
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023094 →eing reversed is the kind of thing which Alastair Ryan (our banks strategist) lies awake at night dreami
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014466 →anch}, regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA); Merrill Lynch (Spain): Merrill Lynch Capital Markets Espana, S.AS.V., regulated by Comisién Nacional del Mercado De Valores; Merrill Lynch (Brazil}: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Banco Multiplo S.A., regulated by Comissdo de Valores Mobiliarios; Merrill Lynch KSA Company,
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014496 →ch should be an attractive tailwind to DOV’s Energy segment. Tax Policy: Our estimates are based on 29% tax rate in ‘17/18. We calculate that under Ryan’s proposed plan, we can see about 19% upside to EPS. We estimate that under Trump’s proposed plan, we can see about 24% upside to EPS. Catalysts: J
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014625 →nch), regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA); Merrill Lynch (Spain): Merrill Lynch Capital Markets Espana, S.A.S.V., regulated by Comisién Nacional del Mercado De Valores; Merrill Lynch (Brazil}: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Banco Multiplo S.A., regulated by Comissao de Valores Mobiliarios; Merrill Lynch KSA Company,
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014650 →Earnings Preview
&S +1 415 676 3574 [email protected] Ryan Goodman, CFA Research Analyst MLPF&S +1 415 676
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014887 →anch}, regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA); Merrill Lynch (Spain): Merrill Lynch Capital Markets Espana, S.AS.V., regulated by Comisién Nacional del Mercado De Valores; Merrill Lynch (Brazil}: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Banco Multiplo S.A., regulated by Comissao de Valores Mobiliarios; Merrill Lynch KSA Company,
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014949 →Entities connected to both Comisién Nacional del Mercado De Valores and Paul Ryan

Donald Trump
PERSON
George W. Bush
PERSON
Marc Rich
PERSON
Barack Obama
PERSON
United States
LOCATION
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Middle East
LOCATION
U.S. Treasury
ORGANIZATION
Puerto Rico
LOCATION
Mobile
LOCATION
Columbia University
LOCATION
Bahrain
LOCATION
North America
LOCATION
Tokyo
LOCATION
Seoul
LOCATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Malaysia
LOCATION
Chile
LOCATION
Frankfurt
LOCATION