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16 Bankof America 2 Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014435 --- PAGE BREAK --- Chart 3: EM debt and equity have been hit Chart 4: While Banks versus Staples has gone ballistic 950 r 40 0.43 ——MSCI EM _ 900 SSW eG TRS EN LSI SEE ERG ; , ———S&P 500 Banks relative to Food & Bev 0.39 (RHS) 850 0.37 0.35 800 0
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014436 →orporated (Seoul Branch) regulated by the Financial Supervisory Service; Merrill Lynch (Taiwan): Merrill Lynch Securities (Taiwan) Ltd., regulated by the Securities and Futures Bureau; DSP Merrill Lynch (India): DSP Merrill Lynch Limited, regulated by the Securities and Exchange Board of India; PT Merrill Lynch (Indonesia): PT Merr
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014457 →relative price vs 52wk average (SD) Source: Re BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg place this text Chart 6: Rapid relative de-rating for Staples — relative PE for Food & Beverage still 6-10% above 2010 / 2014 levels 1.70 1.60 1.50 1.40 1.30 1.20 =———PE-relative FOOD & BEV 110 eee German
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014462 →orporated (Seoul Branch) regulated by the Financial Supervisory Service; Merrill Lynch (Taiwan): Merrill Lynch Securities (Taiwan) Ltd., regulated by the Securities and Futures Bureau; DSP Merrill Lynch (India): DSP Merrill Lynch Limited, regulated by the Securities and Exchange Board of India; PT Merrill Lynch (Indonesia): PT Merr
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014496 →Quantitative Analysis
ctor Est. cash Overseas cash Effective tax Net % imported vs Sector overseas ($bn) = % mkt cap rate LTM exported COGS Discretionary 15 2.9% 28% -14% Staples 68 3.2% 29% -13% Energy 39 26% 21% -3% Health Care 187 10% 23% A% Industrials 127 6.0% 26% 1% Technology 647 14.9% 20% -9% Materials 24 40% 23% 3% Te
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023072 →orporated (Seoul Branch) regulated by the Financial Supervisory Service; Merrill Lynch (Taiwan): Merrill Lynch Securities (Taiwan) Ltd., regulated by the Securities and Futures Bureau; DSP Merrill Lynch (India): DSP Merrill Lynch Limited, regulated by the Securities and Exchange Board of India; PT Merrill Lynch (Indonesia): PT Merr
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023094 →national Incorporated (Seoul Branch} regulated by the ecurities and Futures Bureau; DSP Merrill Lynch (India): DSP Merrill Lynch Lim
SPX puts conditioned on higher rates Participate in the continuation of the reflation trade. Cheapen Financials upside by selling rich Utilities and Staples vol & expensive correl. Higher US rates and stronger dollar are likely to hurt companies exposed to EM and help US DM. Trade the outperformance in a
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023597 →Entities connected to both the Securities and Futures Bureau and Staples

United Kingdom
LOCATION
Donald Trump
PERSON
Bank of America
ORGANIZATION
Frankfurt
LOCATIONMerchant Bank
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATIONThe Financial Service Board
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch Argentina SA
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch KSA Company
ORGANIZATION
Seoul
LOCATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch (Asia Pacific) Limited
ORGANIZATIONthe Central Bank of Ireland
ORGANIZATIONthe Financial Supervisory Service
ORGANIZATIONDSP Merrill Lynch Limited
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch International Incorporated
ORGANIZATIONPierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated
ORGANIZATIONBaFin
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch Canada Inc
ORGANIZATION