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Nacional de Vetoes; Memll Lynch (japan): Merrill LynchJapan Securities Co, Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul": Merrill Lynch International Incorporated (Seoul Branch) regulated by the Financial Supervisory Service, Memll Lynch (Taiwan). Merrill Lynch Securities (Taiwan) Ltd., regulated by the Securi
terest rate 7 Real 10 year yield based on headline CPI 6 5 4 3 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 —US —Japan —Euro Area Source Bloomberg Chart 12: The term premium means that currencies maintain a positive spread between their 2 year and their 10 year interest 2Y10
Investment Strategy
ur China ACT indicator continues to indicate steady growth there too. Our economists forecast 3.5% global GDP growth with EM growth around 4.7%. Our Euro Area growth numbers have been nudged back up towards 1 %% with Brexit not proving to be as much of a drag as feared. We still expect the UK economy to see
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014441 →een improving Growth indicators have been improving around the world of late. Data since the US election would seem to support that with the PMIs in the Euro Area improving again and their equivalent in the US sustaining the gains seen last month. Our EM indicators remain robust and our China ACT indicator con
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014441 →acional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co, Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch International Incorporated (Seoul Branch) regulated by the Financial Supervisory Service; Merrill Lynch (Taiwan): Merrill Lynch Securities (Taiwan) Ltd., regulated by the Secur
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014457 →from the voters) or will we find relief for the markets if by the end of 2017 froma Fillon/Merkel duo being in charge of the two largest economies in the Euro Area. Recovery - the world looks a better place going into 2017 Reflation has been the big theme of the second half of the year. As we had noted in previ
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014465 →obal Research Reversal: There is good taper and bad taper The outcome of that would likely affect ECB behaviour too. Our central expectation is for Euro Area growth of around 1 %% and inflation nudging only modestly higher. A much more robust global economy and a stronger USD (presumably weaker EUR} would
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014466 →acional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co, Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch International Incorporated (Seoul Branch) regulated by the Financial Supervisory Service; Merrill Lynch (Taiwan): Merrill Lynch Securities (Taiwan) Ltd., regulated by the Secur
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014496 →Entities connected to both Merrill Lynch International Incorporated and Euro Area

Bank of America
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSONOtoritas Jasa Keuangan
ORGANIZATION
Donald Trump
PERSON
United Kingdom
LOCATIONMerchant Bank
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch KSA Company
ORGANIZATIONThe Financial Service Board
ORGANIZATIONthe Securities and Futures Bureau
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch Canada Inc
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch International Bank Limited
ORGANIZATIONthe Central Bank of Ireland
ORGANIZATIONPierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management
ORGANIZATION
Frankfurt
LOCATIONMerrill Lynch (Asia Pacific) Limited
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch Argentina SA
ORGANIZATION
Bank of America Corporation
ORGANIZATIONBaFin
ORGANIZATION