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Quantitative Analysis
arkets. Much has been written on the timing, funding and process by which corporate tax reform could be enacted. In this report, we use House Speaker Paul Ryan’s Blueprint proposal as a starting point in quantifying the impact of corporate tax reform on the S&P 500, with some scenario analysis to account for
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023071 →thus remain parked offshore, allowing corporations to avoid the tax hit associated with bringing them back to the US. Both Trump and the House (under Ryan) have proposed a mandatory tax of overseas earnings of US firms’ foreign subsidiaries at reduced rates, such that this cash can be brought back and p
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023074 →: Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co., Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch International Incorporated (Seoul Branch) regulated by the Financial Supervisory Service; Merrill Lynch (Taiwan
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023094 →eing reversed is the kind of thing which Alastair Ryan (our banks strategist) lies awake at night dreami
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014466 →): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co, Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch International Incorporated (Seoul Branch) regulated by the Financial Supervisory Service; Merrill Lynch (Taiwan
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014496 →ch should be an attractive tailwind to DOV’s Energy segment. Tax Policy: Our estimates are based on 29% tax rate in ‘17/18. We calculate that under Ryan’s proposed plan, we can see about 19% upside to EPS. We estimate that under Trump’s proposed plan, we can see about 24% upside to EPS. Catalysts: J
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014625 →): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co, Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch International Incorporated (Seoul Branch) regulated by the Financial Supervisory Service; Merrill Lynch (Taiwan
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014650 →Earnings Preview
&S +1 415 676 3574 [email protected] Ryan Goodman, CFA Research Analyst MLPF&S +1 415 676
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014887 →): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisidn Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co, Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch International Incorporated (Seoul Branch) regulated by the Financial Supervisory Service; Merrill Lynch (Taiwan
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014949 →Entities connected to both the Financial Services Agency and Paul Ryan

Donald Trump
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George W. Bush
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Marc Rich
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United States
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Barack Obama
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Joe Biden
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Bloomberg L.P.
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Condoleezza Rice
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Middle East
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