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Quantitative Analysis
arkets. Much has been written on the timing, funding and process by which corporate tax reform could be enacted. In this report, we use House Speaker Paul Ryan’s Blueprint proposal as a starting point in quantifying the impact of corporate tax reform on the S&P 500, with some scenario analysis to account for
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023071 →thus remain parked offshore, allowing corporations to avoid the tax hit associated with bringing them back to the US. Both Trump and the House (under Ryan) have proposed a mandatory tax of overseas earnings of US firms’ foreign subsidiaries at reduced rates, such that this cash can be brought back and p
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023074 →l Lynch (Mexico): Merrill Lynch Mexico, SA de CV, Casa de Bolsa, regulated by the Comisidn Nacional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co., Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agenc
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023094 →eing reversed is the kind of thing which Alastair Ryan (our banks strategist) lies awake at night dreami
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014466 →l Lynch (Mexico): Merrill Lynch Mexico, SA de CV, Casa de Bolsa, regulated by the Comisidn Nacional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co, Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014496 →ch should be an attractive tailwind to DOV’s Energy segment. Tax Policy: Our estimates are based on 29% tax rate in ‘17/18. We calculate that under Ryan’s proposed plan, we can see about 19% upside to EPS. We estimate that under Trump’s proposed plan, we can see about 24% upside to EPS. Catalysts: J
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014625 →l Lynch (Mexico): Merrill Lynch Mexico, SA de CV, Casa de Bolsa, regulated by the Comisi6n Nacional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co, Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014650 →Earnings Preview
&S +1 415 676 3574 [email protected] Ryan Goodman, CFA Research Analyst MLPF&S +1 415 676
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014887 →l Lynch (Mexico): Merrill Lynch Mexico, SA de CV, Casa de Bolsa, regulated by the Comisién Nacional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisidn Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co, Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014949 →Entities connected to both Merrill Lynch Argentina SA and Paul Ryan

Donald Trump
PERSON
Marc Rich
PERSON
United States
LOCATION
Barack Obama
PERSON
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATIONDoug Band
PERSON
United Kingdom
LOCATION
U.S. Treasury
ORGANIZATION
Mobile
LOCATION
Columbia University
LOCATION
Jeff Sessions
PERSON
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Bahrain
LOCATION
Hong Kong
LOCATION
Seoul
LOCATION
North America
LOCATION
Philippines
LOCATION
Tokyo
LOCATION
Angela Merkel
PERSON
Malaysia
LOCATION