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Investment Strategy
e trends, starts others In the three weeks since Donald Trump’s election victory global markets have seen some dr
rs should seek on existing public information on such Insurance Corporation and are not ases, securities and other financial
Global Cross Asset Strategy —- Year Ahead Bankof America The Trump inflection ape ce Investment Strategy 30 November 2016 Corrected Key takeaways ee « Market response to Trump is logical but moves have been frontlo
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014432 →am Page for Full List of Contributors 10Y real rates. CNH a hedge vs trade risk. Trump extends some trends, starts others In the three weeks since Donald Trump’s election victory global markets have seen some dramatic moves. Som1e of those moves are extending trends that had already started — higher yields, hi
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014432 →e. That is particularly the case if the Fed under President Trump is made more hawkish as our economists think it p
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014437 →LPF&S [email protected] First came Brexit, then Donald Trump’s election as the president of the most powerful co
17 Short US Sy rates — Two and a half Fed hikes priced by the rates market for 2017- 18 are not consistent with aggressive fiscal easing promised by Trump. Bankof America Merrill Lynch 16 November 2016 Corrected FX and Rates Global 2. Short US 10y real rates — After the violent repricing of inflatio
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014731 →d’s tightening cycles. 6. Buy USD call/CNH put — President Trump will need a weak USD, but President Xi needs a we
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014731 →16 November 2016 05:30AM EST HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014731 --- PAGE BREAK --- Introduction David Woo MLPF&S [email protected] First came Brexit, then Donald Trump’s election as the president of the most powerful country in the world. The world has changed. Possibly irrevocably so. These ground shifts have been b
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014732 →ffect on MXN We provide an empirical analysis of Donald Trump’s effects on the Mexican peso. Our analysis suggest
Unauthorized redistribution of this report is prohibited. This report is intended for [email protected] Liquid Insight Trump’s effect on MXN Key takeaways ¢ We provide an empirical analysis of Donald Trump's potential effects on the Mexican peso ¢ Our analysis suggests t
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_010609 →ohibited. This report is intended for [email protected] Liquid Insight Trump’s effect on MXN Key takeaways ¢ We provide an empirical analysis of Donald Trump's potential effects on the Mexican peso ¢ Our analysis suggests the exchange rate is perhaps as much as 15% undervalued « We remain neutral for now g
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_010609 →ticular, in risks related to the security or financial instrument may be difficult person. Investors should seek this report and should understand Insurance Corporation and are not volve numerous risks, including, ‘0 obtain. Investors should note that hat price or value of such securities and instruments may rise o
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_010615 →Price Objective Change
west footprint with its low unemployment and a strong manufacturing base. While commenting on the potential for relief coming out of DC under the new Trump administration, management noted that shortage of skilled workers was probably the biggest issue impeding businesses in its footprint versus higher t
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014324 →_OVERSIGHT_014364 --- PAGE BREAK --- proposals. Mr. Trump and congress could also ultimately defer to the S
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014365 →his report and should understand fering must be based solely on existing public information on such ion with such offering, and not on this report. Insurance Corporation and are not volve numerous risks, including, es, securities and other financial ‘0 obtain. Investors should note that and, in some cases, investors m
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014395 →Investment Strategy
ics, diplomacy and US economic cycle The biggest risk to our scenario is the implications for Japan’s diplomatic and geopolitical environment of the Donald Trump presidency in the US. The likelihood of agreement on the TPP (Trans-Pacific Partnership) has already declined and been priced into the market, but an
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014405 →ser to Europe under such a scenario, raising the incentive to sign the Japan-EU EPA (Economic Partner Agreement), positive for related stocks. If the Trump presidency tips the US towards isolationism, we expect Japan’s spending on defense to increase. If this results in higher spending on Japan’s Self De
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014405 →his report and should understand fering must be based solely on existing public information on such ion with such offering, and not on this report. Insurance Corporation and are not volve numerous risks, including, jes and other financial nvestors should note that and, in some cases, investors may is anticipated t
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014409 →Unauthorized redistribution of this report is prohibited. This report is intended for [email protected] Cause and Effect Fade the Trump risk premium — buy USD Concerns over stagflation return In our view, the most interesting and important development in the global financial market
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014721 →fact that the only item in his 100 day plan that President Trump has reneged on is his promise to label China as a
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014724 →ticular, in risks related to the security or financial instrument may be difficult person. Investors should seek this report and should understand Insurance Corporation and are not volve numerous risks, including, ‘0 obtain. Investors should note that hat price or value of such securities and instruments may rise o
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014730 →scenario for Japan is a combination of rising US protectionism, sliding global trade, and a stronger yen, which could reduce 2017 growth to zero. The Trump presidency may increase pressure on Japan to achieve greater military self-reliance, boosting defense spending. There will also be greater incentives
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014410 →I Lynch siness fect any transaction in any | Lynch (Asia Pacific) Limited in pore recipients of this research her financial instrument. No part of Insurance Corporation and are not volve numerous risks, including, ‘0 obtain. Investors should note that and, in some cases, investors may Bankof America Merrill Lynch
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014422 →s Japanese real interest rates can actually fall. Watch Abe-Trump meeting - coordination or conflict? Given the high uncertainty, clarifications on Trump’s policies on trade and currency will be important for the Japanese market going forward. A potential Abe-Trump meeting in New York this Thursday (17
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014424 →on contained in this report (including any in her financial instrument. No part of person. Investors should seek this report and should understand Insurance Corporation and are not volve numerous risks, including, instrument or derivative is suitable for all investors. In some cases, securities and other financial y
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014430 →be based solely on existing public information on such Insurance Corporation and are not volve numerous risks, including, oth
ital allocation update, tax reform, rising interest rates. Latest report: MCO rally has just begun; beneficiaries of the non-Health Care upside from Trump 1Q risks: Risks to the downside are courts not approving the HUM acquisition, lower- than-expected membership growth and higher than expected cost t
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014624 →Entities connected to both Donald Trump and Insurance Corporation

George W. Bush
PERSON
Bill Clinton
PERSON
Marc Rich
PERSON
United States
LOCATION
Barack Obama
PERSON
Paul Ryan
PERSON
United Kingdom
LOCATION
U.S. Treasury
ORGANIZATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Puerto Rico
LOCATION
North America
LOCATION
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Seoul
LOCATION
Marine Le Pen
PERSON
Tokyo
LOCATION
Bank of America
ORGANIZATIONPierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated
ORGANIZATION
Bank of America Corporation
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATION
Australia
LOCATION