Epstein Secrets

LPF&S [email protected] First came Brexit, then Donald Trump’s election as the president of the most powerful co

17 Short US Sy rates — Two and a half Fed hikes priced by the rates market for 2017- 18 are not consistent with aggressive fiscal easing promised by Trump. Bankof America Merrill Lynch 16 November 2016 Corrected FX and Rates Global 2. Short US 10y real rates — After the violent repricing of inflatio

d’s tightening cycles. 6. Buy USD call/CNH put — President Trump will need a weak USD, but President Xi needs a we

16 November 2016 05:30AM EST HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014731 --- PAGE BREAK --- Introduction David Woo MLPF&S [email protected] First came Brexit, then Donald Trump’s election as the president of the most powerful country in the world. The world has changed. Possibly irrevocably so. These ground shifts have been b

ffect on MXN We provide an empirical analysis of Donald Trump’s effects on the Mexican peso. Our analysis suggest

Unauthorized redistribution of this report is prohibited. This report is intended for [email protected] Liquid Insight Trump’s effect on MXN Key takeaways ¢ We provide an empirical analysis of Donald Trump's potential effects on the Mexican peso ¢ Our analysis suggests t

ohibited. This report is intended for [email protected] Liquid Insight Trump’s effect on MXN Key takeaways ¢ We provide an empirical analysis of Donald Trump's potential effects on the Mexican peso ¢ Our analysis suggests the exchange rate is perhaps as much as 15% undervalued « We remain neutral for now g

ill Lynch Canada Inc, regulated by the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada; Merrill Lynch (Mexico): Merrill Lynch Mexico, SA de CV, Casa de Bolsa, regulated by the Comisidn Nacional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de V

Unauthorized redistribution of this report is prohibited. This report is intended for [email protected] Cause and Effect Fade the Trump risk premium — buy USD Concerns over stagflation return In our view, the most interesting and important development in the global financial market

fact that the only item in his 100 day plan that President Trump has reneged on is his promise to label China as a

ynch and Distribution of Affiliate Research Reports: South Africa ( PRA}; Merrill Lynch (Aus Pacific) Limited, regulate Singapore (MAS); Merrill CV, Casa de Bolsa, regula japan): Merri Financial Supervisory Service; regulated by srael Limited, DIFC): Merrill Lynch In Comisi6n Nacional del errill Lynch Kingdom o

reform OK, maybe it’s not as inevitable as death and taxes, but some form of corporate tax reform seems likely. It is a stated priority of President Trump and has widespread Congressional support. We here focus on four components that could have big equity implications. We assess the impacts at a market

x reform seems likely. It is a stated priority of President Trump and has widespread Congressional support. We here

ill Lynch Canada Inc, regulated by the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada; Merrill Lynch (Mexico): Merrill Lynch Mexico, SA de CV, Casa de Bolsa, regulated by the Comisidn Nacional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de V

would be interested and able to do work on them if they were to con- vert to C-corps. We had conversations around conversion a year ago as President Trump took office amid promises of tax reform, and the subject came up on nearly every 4Q16 earnings call. Management teams seemed to table the idea becaus

had conversations around conversion a year ago as President Trump took office amid promises of tax reform, and the

a Limited. As usedin this disclosure section, "Morgan Stanley’ includes Morgan Stanley &Co. LLC, Morgan Stanley C.T.V.M. S.A., Morgan Stanley Mexico, Casa de Bolsa, S.A. de C:V., Morgan Stanley Canada Limited and their affiliates as necessary. For important disclosures, stock price charts and equity rating hist

scenario for Japan is a combination of rising US protectionism, sliding global trade, and a stronger yen, which could reduce 2017 growth to zero. The Trump presidency may increase pressure on Japan to achieve greater military self-reliance, boosting defense spending. There will also be greater incentives

liate Research Reports: LPF&S distributes, or may in South Africa ( PRA}; Merrill Lynch (Aus Pacific) Limited, regulate Singapore (MAS); Merrill CV, Casa de Bolsa, regulated by japan}: Merrill Lynch Japan Sec Financial Supervisory Service; regulated by the Securities and srael Limited, regulated by Isra DIFC):

s Japanese real interest rates can actually fall. Watch Abe-Trump meeting - coordination or conflict? Given the high uncertainty, clarifications on Trump’s policies on trade and currency will be important for the Japanese market going forward. A potential Abe-Trump meeting in New York this Thursday (17

ill Lynch Canada Inc, regulated by the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada; Merrill Lynch (Mexico): Merrill Lynch Mexico, SA de CV, Casa de Bolsa, regulated by the Comisidn Nacional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de V

r- end target of 2.85% for the 10y rate (just above the median forecast). Long-term rates have remained low due to uncertainty around Fiscal policy (Trump’s plans on infrastructure spending), subdued inflation expectations and a slower than expected Fed hiking cycle. On the other hand, a near full-emplo

butes, or may in Pty) Ltd., regulated by The Financial Service Board; MLI (U Lynch (Australia): d, regulated by th Singapore (MAS); Merrill Lynch CV, Casa de Bolsa, regulated by Financial Supervisory Service; he Securities and onal del Mercado De ertill Lynch Kingdom of Saudi Ara This research report: has been

ntion) may still find that option markets are currently pricing too little of a move. However, as we have recently argued the debate about whether a Trump win would be good or bad for markets coupled with the inability to exactly pinpoint real risks are likely headwinds to a sizeable market shock. 8 Gl

ill Lynch Canada Inc, regulated by the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada; errill Lynch (Mexico): Merrill Lynch Mexico, SA de CV, Casa de Bolsa, regulated by the Comisién Nacional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de V