Epstein Secrets

inflation) but inter-sector correlation now seems supported likely driven by the unwind of reflation trades (Chart 18). Bankof America <> ariective Merrill Lynch Global Equity Volatility Insights | 20 June 2017 11 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014982 --- PAGE BREAK --- Chart 18: European intra-sector realised correlation is near a 10-year Table 3: Person

upside on structurally challenged European banks & relatively more bearish outlook for US rates vs EU USDJPY and NKY the biggest beneficiaries of a Trump win Banks and Insurance are the most leveraged sector Banks and Insurance are the most leveraged sector China risk premium rising but A-shares vol

to 2-Jun-17. m 3yr %-ile of average 12m ATMF implied vol © Sector market cap as a %-age of total SPX Top50 market cap Bankof America <> ; dee Ios Merrill Lynch Global Equity Volatility Insights | 06 June 2017 7 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023581 --- PAGE BREAK --- Chart 18: Long SPX Top50 dispersion strategies performed the best during the dotcom bub

r- end target of 2.85% for the 10y rate (just above the median forecast). Long-term rates have remained low due to uncertainty around Fiscal policy (Trump’s plans on infrastructure spending), subdued inflation expectations and a slower than expected Fed hiking cycle. On the other hand, a near full-emplo

eft sections) are dominated by scenarios of greater than 50% deleveraging. On the other hand, the second and fourth quadrants Bankof America <> ; re Merrill Lynch Global Equity Volatility Insights | 09 August 2016 5 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025982 --- PAGE BREAK --- have episodes of more benign model-driven deleveraging. In each quadrant exists examp

ntion) may still find that option markets are currently pricing too little of a move. However, as we have recently argued the debate about whether a Trump win would be good or bad for markets coupled with the inability to exactly pinpoint real risks are likely headwinds to a sizeable market shock. 8 Gl