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% in 2017, with looser fiscal policy and still easy monetary policy in key countries. e And last but not least, we expect that while President-elect Trump’s initial policy measures with respect to tariffs and trade agreements risk jolting financial markets, as a self-described “deal maker” he will likel
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014535 →edit-to-GDP ratio and its long-term trend in percentage points. Long-term trend is calculated using an HP filter. Source: Investment Strategy Group, Bank for International Settlements. direct investment has reversed and is now negative. In our view, neither China’s high savings rate nor its increasing government control of financi
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014565 →tem, October 3, 2016. itra Toossi, “A Century of ange: The U.S. Labor Force, 950-2050," Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statistics, May 2002. Donald J. Trump, “Remarks,” speech delivered at the New York Economic Club, September 15, 2016. Chair Janet L. Yellen, “Current Conditions and the Outlook or the U
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014614 →or Review, Bureau of Labor Statistics, May 2002. Donald J. Trump, “Remarks,” speech delivered at the New Yor
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014614 →ion: Tension between the US and European Union eased significantly after a July 2018 deal between European Commission President Juncker and President Trump to “work together toward zero tariffs, zero non-tariff barriers and zero subsidies on non-auto industrial goods”. The coast is not totally clear give
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026915 →between European Commission President Juncker and President Trump to “work together toward zero tariffs, zero non-t
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026915 →end that clients maintain their strategic allocation to US equities. HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026920 --- PAGE BREAK --- Sources: Investment Strategy Group, Bank for International Settlements, Bloomberg, Datastream, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Haver, International Monetary Fund, Teneo Intelligence. Endnotes: (1) Kate Davids
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026921 →er and Executive Vice-President General Manager, Bank for International Settlements (BIS), Basel Vice-President International News an
ni Adi B. Godrej Jamshyd N. Godrej Daniel Goffart Donald J. Gogel Rick Goings Ayla Géksel Yair Goldfinger l
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_017076 →Entities connected to both Donald Trump and Bank for International Settlements

Marc Rich
PERSON
United States
LOCATION
Barack Obama
PERSON
John F. Kennedy
PERSON
Credit Suisse
ORGANIZATION
United Kingdom
LOCATION
U.S. Treasury
ORGANIZATION
Middle East
LOCATION
Venezuela
LOCATION
Goldman Sachs
ORGANIZATION
Columbia University
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Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Philippines
LOCATION
Norway
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Bahrain
LOCATION
Federal Reserve
ORGANIZATION
Rupert Murdoch
PERSON
United Arab Emirates
LOCATION
Nigeria
LOCATION
Malaysia
LOCATION