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Investment Strategy
e trends, starts others In the three weeks since Donald Trump’s election victory global markets have seen some dr
Global Cross Asset Strategy —- Year Ahead Bankof America The Trump inflection ape ce Investment Strategy 30 November 2016 Corrected Key takeaways ee « Market response to Trump is logical but moves have been frontlo
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014432 →am Page for Full List of Contributors 10Y real rates. CNH a hedge vs trade risk. Trump extends some trends, starts others In the three weeks since Donald Trump’s election victory global markets have seen some dramatic moves. Som1e of those moves are extending trends that had already started — higher yields, hi
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014432 →e. That is particularly the case if the Fed under President Trump is made more hawkish as our economists think it p
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014437 →r Cross Asset year ahead you needed not so much a crystal ball as a time machine to have got things completely right this year. Aside from Brexit and Donald Trump winning the US election it is easy to forget that in February we were worrying about a US recession and deflation. US 5Y5Y forward breakeven inflatio
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014463 →ed at 1.8% at that point. Four months later we were worrying about the deflationary impact of Brexit. Now we are thinking about the reflation under a Trump Presidency. Chart 9: US 5Y5Y forward inflation troughed in February Chart 10: At the same time as Basic Resources 3.3 17 34 45 —— Stoxx Basic Resour
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014463 →ector, region or other classification(s). A stock’s coverage cluster is included in the most recent BofA Merrill Lynch report referencing the stock. BofA Merrill Lynch Research Personnel (including the analyst(s) responsible for this report) receive compensation based upon, among other factors, the overall profitability of Bank of Ame
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014496 →ital allocation update, tax reform, rising interest rates. Latest report: MCO rally has just begun; beneficiaries of the non-Health Care upside from Trump 1Q risks: Risks to the downside are courts not approving the HUM acquisition, lower- than-expected membership growth and higher than expected cost t
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014624 →tes: Aetna Inc, Consolidated Edison, Dover Corp, General Dynamics, Hess, MGM Resorts, Norfolk Southern, SVB Financial, Texas Instrument, TripAdvisor. BofA Merrill Lynch Research Personnel (including the analyst(s) responsible for this report) receive compensation based upon, among other factors, the overall profitability of Bank of Ame
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014650 →Entities connected to both Donald Trump and BofA Merrill Lynch Research Personnel

United States
LOCATION
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION
Paul Ryan
PERSON
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Columbia University
LOCATION
Philippines
LOCATION
Angela Merkel
PERSON
North America
LOCATION
Malaysia
LOCATION
Seoul
LOCATION
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Hungary
LOCATION
Chile
LOCATION
Marine Le Pen
PERSON
Bank of America
ORGANIZATION
Tunisia
LOCATIONPierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated
ORGANIZATION
Australia
LOCATION
Bank of America Corporation
ORGANIZATION