Epstein Secrets

036 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_016801 --- PAGE BREAK --- view, the market’s expectation for looser monetary policy together with recent comments by President Trump implying a desire for a weaker greenback have been tailwinds. In addition to these drivers, we view gold as an appealing diversifier in light of elev

monetary policy together with recent comments by President Trump implying a desire for a weaker greenback have bee

tions you have about our market views. Sincerely, Paul This material was prepared by the Chief Investment Office (CIO) and is not a publication of BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. The views expressed are those of the CIO only and are subject to change. This information should not be construed as investment

e trends, starts others In the three weeks since Donald Trump’s election victory global markets have seen some dr

Global Cross Asset Strategy —- Year Ahead Bankof America The Trump inflection ape ce Investment Strategy 30 November 2016 Corrected Key takeaways ee « Market response to Trump is logical but moves have been frontlo

am Page for Full List of Contributors 10Y real rates. CNH a hedge vs trade risk. Trump extends some trends, starts others In the three weeks since Donald Trump’s election victory global markets have seen some dramatic moves. Som1e of those moves are extending trends that had already started — higher yields, hi

e. That is particularly the case if the Fed under President Trump is made more hawkish as our economists think it p

he express written consent of BofA Merrill Lynch. BofA Merril sed on public i | Lynch, including investment ba

ics, diplomacy and US economic cycle The biggest risk to our scenario is the implications for Japan’s diplomatic and geopolitical environment of the Donald Trump presidency in the US. The likelihood of agreement on the TPP (Trans-Pacific Partnership) has already declined and been priced into the market, but an

ser to Europe under such a scenario, raising the incentive to sign the Japan-EU EPA (Economic Partner Agreement), positive for related stocks. If the Trump presidency tips the US towards isolationism, we expect Japan’s spending on defense to increase. If this results in higher spending on Japan’s Self De

scenario for Japan is a combination of rising US protectionism, sliding global trade, and a stronger yen, which could reduce 2017 growth to zero. The Trump presidency may increase pressure on Japan to achieve greater military self-reliance, boosting defense spending. There will also be greater incentives

: The protections provided by the U.K. regulatory regime, including the Financial Services Scheme, do not apply in general to business coordinated by BofA Merrill h policies relating to conflicts of interest are described at http://go.bofa.com/coi. ments linked to securities that may have been recommended in th

s Japanese real interest rates can actually fall. Watch Abe-Trump meeting - coordination or conflict? Given the high uncertainty, clarifications on Trump’s policies on trade and currency will be important for the Japanese market going forward. A potential Abe-Trump meeting in New York this Thursday (17

in jo security, finance! by the U.K. regulatory regime, including the Financial Services Scheme, do not apply in general to business coordinated by BofA Merrill are described at http://go.bofa.com/coi. ments linked to securities that may have been recommended in this report. MLPF&S or one of its instruments

ital allocation update, tax reform, rising interest rates. Latest report: MCO rally has just begun; beneficiaries of the non-Health Care upside from Trump 1Q risks: Risks to the downside are courts not approving the HUM acquisition, lower- than-expected membership growth and higher than expected cost t

t of In the event therewith quity securities o he implementation rt. °o uding ADRs, effectively assume currency risk. de of the United Kingdom. BofA Merrill h h @ persons who prepared them, and Bo is report. LPF&S may be deemed beyond the delivery of this report (unless otherwise agreed 5| transactio

long term. Since the presidential election, the ’trump tax rally’ that has arguably lifted the broader S

errill Lynch Global Research and certain busin research reports. To the extent this report discusses ou oO professionals in other business areas of BofA Merrill 5 report containing such rating, recommendation or in Any information relating to the tax status of financia seek tax advice based on their particul

upside on structurally challenged European banks & relatively more bearish outlook for US rates vs EU USDJPY and NKY the biggest beneficiaries of a Trump win Banks and Insurance are the most leveraged sector Banks and Insurance are the most leveraged sector China risk premium rising but A-shares vol

eutsche Bank, ING Group, LPF&S together with its affiliates ownership position on he report: BNP Paribas The issuer is or was, wi ntesa, Santander. BofA Merrill Corporation, inc ved , Deutsche Bi hin the last ysts responsible for covering iliate was a manager of a pub compensa compensa ceive or in ntesa,

ntion) may still find that option markets are currently pricing too little of a move. However, as we have recently argued the debate about whether a Trump win would be good or bad for markets coupled with the inability to exactly pinpoint real risks are likely headwinds to a sizeable market shock. 8 Gl

ons, conclusion, or information con an authorized officer of BofA Merrill Lynch. ed in this material | Lynch, including investment banking personnel. BofA Merrill jons that are inconsistent rames, assumptions, views and analytical ‘0 the attention of any and in connection ly and does not extend with the execu