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4 Deutsche Bank AG/London EFTA00610289 9 January 2014 FX Blueprint: Thin end of the wedge Theme #8: Balti not faulty, China yet finer 2013 saw Asian FX fracture into a North and South complex. Relative sensitivity to the yen, the EM debt bubble, and the developed world equity/growth cycle all serv
have seen a long USD/SGD view as a good 'long- haul' trade to play for USD strength and US yield re- pricing. However, the lesson from 2013 was that USD/SGD took its cues more from the USD/G10 TVVI than its USD/Asia peers which often behaved Indian exports have been a bright spot in Asia 15 10 5 -10
Dashing Buck Theme #7: Japanese Takeaway 3E We expect sensitivity to the JPY and offshore portfolio allocation preferences will continue to drive Asian FX. We are long USD/KRW, USD/SGD & MYR/JPY. Asian FX returns this year have largely been driven by varying sensitivities to the JPY. Correlations to
delta AUD/USD call Theme #5: NOK o'Clock: Buy NOK/SEK Theme #6: No Chinese Quick Fix: Buy USD/CNH calls Theme #7: Japanese Takeaway: Buy USD/KRW, USD/SGD, buy MYR/JPY Theme #8: EMEA Reality Check: Buy PLN/CZK, buy EUR/HUF and USD/ZAR calls, buy USD/TRY put Theme #9: Mexican Siesta: Take profit on sh
9 January 2014 FX Blueprint: Thin end of the wedge Theme #8: Balti not faulty, China yet finer 2013 saw Asian FX fracture into a North and South complex. Relative sensitivity to the yen, the EM debt bubble, and the developed world equity/growth cycle all serv
have seen a long USD/SGD view as a good 'long- haul' trade to play for USD strength and US yield re- pricing. However, the lesson from 2013 was that USD/SGD took its cues more from the USD/G10 1VVI than its USD/Asia peers which often behaved Indian exports have been a bright spot in Asia 15 10 .5 -10
Entities connected to both Asian FX and USD/SGD

Alan Dershowitz
PERSON
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Harvey Weinstein
PERSON
Norway
LOCATION
Sydney
LOCATION
Columbia University
LOCATION
Malaysia
LOCATION
Tokyo
LOCATION
Richard Smith
PERSON
North America
LOCATIONKuroda
PERSON
Deutsche Bank
ORGANIZATIONBrent
ORGANIZATIONJapan Investment Advisers Association
ORGANIZATION
South
LOCATION
North
LOCATION
Moody's
ORGANIZATIONthe Kanto Local Finance Bureau
ORGANIZATIONNippon
ORGANIZATIONChiyoda-ku
ORGANIZATION