Epstein Secrets

To: 'Paul Barrett Cc: Stewart Oldfield Joshua Shoshan Martin Zeman Subject: RE: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap Paul, Vimal is working on the analysis and we'll send s

and mathematical claculations of implied and reaslied correlation. See also below the same idea but in EURMXN-USDMXN, the strike is a bit lower but Vimal wanted to point out that the historical realized has gone also much lower than in the ZAR situation, so the potential for positive payout seems high

From: Xavier Avila Sent: 12/5/2017 To: Paul Barrett CC: Stewart Oldfield Joshua Shoshan [ Martin Zeman Subject: RE: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap 14104 3391 70% 60% 50% 30% 20% — EURZAR-USIZ

t Oldfield Joshua Shoshan ; Martin Zeman Subject: RE: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap Paul, see below the note and analysis that Vimal put together. Attached also an indicative termsheet, where you can also see the mathematical Definition of Realized Correlation. Thanks and good wee

To: 'Paul Barrett Cc: Stewart Oldfield Joshua Shoshan Martin Zeman Subject: RE: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap Paul, Vimal is working on the analysis and we'll send s

and mathematical claculations of implied and reaslied correlation. See also below the same idea but in EURMXN-USDMXN, the strike is a bit lower but Vimal wanted to point out that the historical realized has gone also much lower than in the ZAR situation, so the potential for positive payout seems high

70% 0.85 60% 0.70 50% Jul 14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul18 From: Xavier Avila Sent: Friday, December 01, 2017 3:54 PM To: 'Paul Barrett Cc: Stewart Oldfield < >; Joshua Shoshan >; Martin Zeman Subject: RE: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap Paul, Vimal is working on the analysis and we'l

and mathematical claculations of implied and reaslied correlation. See also below the same idea but in EURMXN-USDMXN, the strike is a bit lower but Vimal wanted to point out that the historical realized has gone also much lower than in the ZAR situation, so the potential for positive payout seems high

From: Xavier Sent: 12/5/2017 4:16:56 PM To: Paul Barrett CC: Stewart Oldfield ; Joshua Shoshan ; Martin Zeman Subject: RE: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap Attachments: ZAR_CorrelationSwap_Dec17.xlsx Paul,

eman >; Joshua Shoshan < >; Martin Zeman Subject: RE: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap Paul, see below the note and analysis that Vimal put together. Attached also an indicative termsheet, where you can also see the mathematical Definition of Realized Correlation. Thanks and good wee