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his expectation appears to be broadly back on track after weather in early December had opened up prospects of meaningful downside risks. Page 54 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0086613 CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00232797 EFTA01385329
ember has steadily increased its growth forecast to 6.2 Bcf/d by December. As our O&G Services analyst David Havens notes in his December 8th note, Woodmac has an even more aggressive estimate of +9 Bcf/d YoY growth with half of it driven by Appalachian. Woodmac expects Haynesville, which has seen a me
09 Pipeline gross exports NMI 0.56 Industrial 0.27 Power 0.91 Res/Com 1.42 Demand 5.20 (tOO) • 140 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Page 55 CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0086614 CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00232798 EFTA01385330
double by end-2019 to 9.6 Bcf/d • and would likely be key to keep the market balanced over the medium term in the face of continued supply growth. Woodmac, which is projecting much higher production (-2.8 Bcf/d higher than EIA) has a price forecast of 52.85 for 2018. The company sees the higher supply
.(1011,1400101 OW IS Wigs Fina•••••••••• OrinaMIti V al IPASMILn C••••••• MPS* II Nil all 0 it Sane Oatsets Sn lited Afecianoi Page 48 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0058899 CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00205083 EFTA01367366
rom 2014 to 1H2015 yet with only 10% of the project's required capital invested as of YE 14. there is significant risk to further project slippage. Woodmac anticipates a further delay in FID to 4O15 with first oil production at FGP not expected until 2021 vs. the initial 2017 target date. FID decisions
% 0% 2005 AVE 2037 33309 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 • Disc Raw re Woll613.16041 0%04 Co.. C4so Resew. Stang dint* Bs* 110005facitas 1 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Page 5/ CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0058908 CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00205092 EFTA01367375
om the fields is mostly light (-37 API on average). The continued production ramp of the Tsimin field is likely the biggest spotlight in the group (Woodmac estimated -50 mboe/d in production from 2014-2017). Longer- term growth will be supported mostly by the heavy crude producing Ku- Maloob Zaap fields
Entities connected to both Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. and Woodmac