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ns have moved back to pm-crisis levels, and are thus more "normal", where local supply and demand conditions drive prices. We are short gasoline vs. Brent, short lead and zinc vs. base metals and long palladium vs. platinum. We also have small outright long positions in US natural gas and in Brent, as
vs. Brent, short lead and zinc vs. base metals and long palladium vs. platinum. We also have small outright long positions in US natural gas and in Brent, as well as in commodity carry. • We expect the gasoline spread to Brent to narrow further over the coming weeks as refinery maintenance season come
ani irtzoglou J.P. Morgan Securities plc Seamus Mac Gorain EFTA00628227 J.P. Morgan Securities plc Matthew Lehmann J.P. Morgan Securities plc Leo Evans J.P. Morgan Securities plc If you no longer wish to receive these e•malls then click here to unsubscribe www.Jpmorganmarkets.com Analyst certificat
This has been offset by strong output from remaining OPEC countries, including Libya, which has almost returned to pre- crisis levels. However, the Brent futures curve remains backwardated (spot above forwards), which shows the oil market remains tight. We believe this reflects stronger demand, likely
ikolaos Pani irtzoglou J.P. Morgan Securities Ltd. Seamus Mac Gorain J.P. f,,lorgan Securities Ltd. Matthew Lehmann J.P. Morgan Securities Ltd. Leo Evans J.P. Morgan Securities Ltd. If you no longer wish to receive these e-mails then click here to unsubscribe www.morganmarkets.com Analyst certificati
rporates (CEMBI) 10.1% 9.5% 13.1% 21.0% 16.4% 15.4% Quarterly Averages Commodities Current 1204 1301 1302 1303 GSCI Index YID Return' Brent (Sibbl) 110 105 112 105 120 Energy -3.7% Gold (Stoz) 1733 1725 1750 1775 Precious Metals 8.7% Copper IS/metric ton) 7629 8300 8500
cunbos plc Mk I P nl Irtz I u J.P. Morgan Secunlies plc Seamus Mac Gorain J.P. Morgan Sooting°, plc Matthew Lehmann J.P. Morgan Securrbes plc Leo Evans J.P. Morgan Seaman plc YTD returns through Nov 8 %, equities are in lighter color. EMBIG EM S Corp. US High Yield MSCI Europe' StP500 MSCI EM'
make the largest gain with close to 14%, closely followed by base metals and precious metals with 12% and 9% respectively. Our oil strategists see Brent at $120/bbl by year end, driven by higher demand as the global economy should improve sequentially towards the end of 2013. Agriculture prices are
7815 Morgan Secunties plc Seamus Mac Gorain (44-20)7134-7761 Morgan Securities plc Matthew Lehmann (44-20) 7134-7813 M. Morgan Securities plc Leo Evans (44-20) 7742-2537 M. Morgan Securities plc 2012 returns %, equities are in tighter color. Toplx EMBIG MSCI EM* EM S Corp. MSCI AC Work! MSCI
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