Epstein Secrets

ns have moved back to pm-crisis levels, and are thus more "normal", where local supply and demand conditions drive prices. We are short gasoline vs. Brent, short lead and zinc vs. base metals and long palladium vs. platinum. We also have small outright long positions in US natural gas and in Brent, as

vs. Brent, short lead and zinc vs. base metals and long palladium vs. platinum. We also have small outright long positions in US natural gas and in Brent, as well as in commodity carry. • We expect the gasoline spread to Brent to narrow further over the coming weeks as refinery maintenance season come

nd growth given the weak payroll number but we think the selloff in oil is overdone and expect Brent to recover. Jan Loe s JPMorgan Chase Bank NA John Normand J.P. Morgan Securities plc Nikolaos Pani irtzoglou J.P. Morgan Securities plc Seamus Mac Gorain EFTA00628227 J.P. Morgan Securities plc Matth

This has been offset by strong output from remaining OPEC countries, including Libya, which has almost returned to pre- crisis levels. However, the Brent futures curve remains backwardated (spot above forwards), which shows the oil market remains tight. We believe this reflects stronger demand, likely

ities to pick-up sharply as we head into the summer and through the second half of the year. Jan Loeys (AC) EFTA00630376 JPMorgan Chase Bank NA John Normand J.P. Morgan Securities Ltd. Nikolaos Pani irtzoglou J.P. Morgan Securities Ltd. Seamus Mac Gorain J.P. f,,lorgan Securities Ltd. Matthew Lehman

ll as weaker supply growth, largely in Iraq and Libya. • Recent reports of a peace agreement in Libya between the rebels and the government caused Brent to fall by around 5%. We think a quick and full recovery in production is unlikely and we also think overall production capacity is now lower due t

page 7 for analyst certification and important disclosures. Click play to view video Global Asset Allocation Jan Loeys AC JPMergan Chase Bank NA John Normand J.P. Morgan Securities plc Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou JP. Morgan Securities plc Mika Inkinen J.P. mown Securities plc Matthew Lehmann J.P. Morgan

ll as weaker supply growth, largely in Iraq and Libya. • Recent reports of a peace agreement in Libya between the rebels and the government caused Brent to fall by around 5%. We think a quick and full recovery in production is unlikely and we also think overall production capacity is now lower due t

: Sweet 'Sixteen, Sour 'Seventeen, Fenton ct al., Jul 9). EFTA_R1_00470157 EFTA01981555 Click here for the full Note and disclaimers. Jan Loevs John Normand Nikolaos Panieirtzoalou Mika Inkinen Matthew Lehmann Nandini Srivastava Visit J.P. Morgan Markets for more market-leading research and financial

rporates (CEMBI) 10.1% 9.5% 13.1% 21.0% 16.4% 15.4% Quarterly Averages Commodities Current 1204 1301 1302 1303 GSCI Index YID Return' Brent (Sibbl) 110 105 112 105 120 Energy -3.7% Gold (Stoz) 1733 1725 1750 1775 Precious Metals 8.7% Copper IS/metric ton) 7629 8300 8500

ach side's position. See page 7 for analyst certification and important disclosures. Global Asset Allocation Jan Loeys AC JPMorgan Chase Bank NA John Normand J.P. Morgan Socunbos plc Mk I P nl Irtz I u J.P. Morgan Secunlies plc Seamus Mac Gorain J.P. Morgan Sooting°, plc Matthew Lehmann J.P. Morgan

make the largest gain with close to 14%, closely followed by base metals and precious metals with 12% and 9% respectively. Our oil strategists see Brent at $120/bbl by year end, driven by higher demand as the global economy should improve sequentially towards the end of 2013. Agriculture prices are

and important disclosures. Global Asset Allocation 04 January 2013 Global Asset Allocation Jan Loeys AC (1-212)834-5874 JPMorgan Chase Bank NA John Normand (44-20) 7134-1816 M. Morgan Securities plc Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou (44-20) 7134-7815 Morgan Secunties plc Seamus Mac Gorain (44-20)7134-7761