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tes. Its NIIP then quickly deteriorated as small and unstable current account surpluses were insufficient to offset negative valuation effects. The Lehman and most importantly the Eurozone crisis marked an inflection point, and the euro area has since run current account surpluses of a greater order o
truments and Exchange Law: Company name - Deutsche Securities Inc. Registration number - Registered as a financial instruments dealer by the Head of the Kanto Local Finance Bureau (IGnsho) No. 117. Member of associations: JSDA. Type II Financial Instruments Firms Association. The Financial Futures Association of Japan. Japan
returning. For all the unconventional measures since 2088, the remarkably consistent pricing of 2-year ahead rates paths from the Fed and ECB post Lehman is what stands out (see second chart). We think this year will mark the beginning of renewed divergence. On the Fed side, mid-2015 guidance is soo
uments and Exchange Law: Company name - Deutsche Securities Inc. Registration number - Registered as a financial instruments dealer by the Head of the Kanto Local Finance Bureau (Kinsho) No. 117. Member of associations: JSDA, Type II Financial Instruments Firms Association, The Financial Futures Association of Japan, Japan
USD swap). 6 transaction costs for FX swaps in recent years, the impact of the FTT would be comparable to the rise in transaction costs around the Lehman liquidity crisis. These costs would be magnified further by the FX market's high turnover and deal velocity. Many market participants roll shorte
uments and Exchange Law: Company name - Deutsche Securities Inc. Registration number - Registered as a financial instruments dealer by the Head of the Kanto Local Finance Bureau (Kinsho) No. 117. Member of associations: JSDA, Type II Financial Instruments Firms Association, The Financial Futures Association of Japan, Japan
Entities connected to both Lehman and the Kanto Local Finance Bureau

Deutsche Bank
ORGANIZATION
Frankfurt
LOCATION
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Moody's
ORGANIZATIONStandard & Poor's
ORGANIZATIONNippon
ORGANIZATIONThe Financial Futures Association of Japan
ORGANIZATION
New Zealand
LOCATION
South Africa
LOCATION
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION
Malaysia
LOCATION
Tokyo
LOCATION
Alan Dershowitz
PERSON
Sydney
LOCATIONAndreas Neubauer
PERSONDavid Folkerts-Landau
PERSONSteve Pollard
PERSONChiyoda-ku
ORGANIZATIONJapan Investment Advisers Association
ORGANIZATIONAssociation of Japan
ORGANIZATION