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3.2 2.7 1.6 2.5 2.7 2.3 2.5 24 Emerging Europe 4.8 2.5 2.5 0.6 14 1,8 2.4 2.6 3.6 3.0 5.0 5.8 5.8 5.1 Bulgaria 1.7 0.7 1.5 Czech Republic 1.9 -1.1 0.0 -1.6 -1.3 -1.6 0.0 0.8 2.4 1.4 3.4 2.7 2.2 2.4 Hungary 1.6 -1.4 0.0 .1A -0.7 •1.0 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.0 5.5 5.5 3.
is regulated by thc Securities and Exchange Commission. Brazil: Banco M. Morgan S.A. is regulated by the Comissao de Valera Mobiliarios (CVM) and by the Central Bank of Brazil. Mexico: • Morgan Casa de Bolus. S.A. de C.V.... Morgan Grupo Financier° is a member of the Mexican Stock Exchange and authorized to act as a broker
s, FX & EM 2017 Year Ahead | 16 November 2016 BankofAmerica <2” Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014734 --- PAGE BREAK --- currencies. The fact that the Central Bank of Brazil will be looking to cut rates in the face of a Fed tightening cycle makes the BRL especially vulnerable in 2017. We would recommend buying MXN against
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014735 →stress may bring opportunities to buy dips. CEE capitalized the past five year much better, with fiscal consolidation in Hungary, balanced budget in Czech Republic, and low debt/GDP ratios in Poland. Also, the growth picture is much more rosy, making leverage much more manageable. Trade recommendation: Buy 50y
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014775 →15 41 0.5 1.5 2.0 25 46 28 26 25 Emerging Europe 48 2.6 2.6 + 24 13 0.4. 1.8) 27. 24. 3.7 / 64 5.0 60. 63 T Bulgaria wi 0 1.5 a a a we a a a a a a a Czech Republic d -11 0.9 -3.1 -08 -12 -13 21 1.0 43 24 34 29 24 Hungary 6 12 0.5 3.5 -0.9 -1.0 -10 1.0 15 8 44 55 58 47 Poland 43 23 1.61 24 16 0.5 0.5 4 1.34 23. 3
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026577 →regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Brazil: Banco J.P. Morgan S.A. is regulated by the Comissao de Valores Mobiliarios (CVM) and by the Central Bank of Brazil. Mexico: J.P. Morgan Casa de Bolsa, S.A. de C.V., J.P. Morgan Grupo Financiero is a member of the Mexican Stock Exchange and authorized to act as a b
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026578 →Singapore Taiwan Thailand Africa/Middle East Israel South Africa Europe Euro area Germany France Italy Spain United Kingdom Emerging Europe Bulgaria Czech Republic Hungary Poland Romania Russia Turkey Global Developed markets Emerging markets Source: J.P. Morgan 6 1.8 2.6 8.9 2.7 5.9 6.6 8.0 3.9 6.9 5.7 4.2 4.7
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_030853 →regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Brazil: Banco J.P. Morgan S.A. is regulated by the Comissao de Valores Mobiliarios (CVM) and by the Central Bank of Brazil. Mexico: J.P. Morgan Casa de Bolsa, S.A. de C.V., J.P. Morgan Grupo Financiero is a member of the Mexican Stock Exchange and authorized to act as a b
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_030854 →Entities connected to both Czech Republic and the Central Bank of Brazil

Hungary
LOCATION
Bulgaria
LOCATION
Romania
LOCATION
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Malaysia
LOCATION
New Zealand
LOCATION
United States
LOCATION
Philippines
LOCATION
Chile
LOCATION
JPMorgan Chase
ORGANIZATIONthe Securities and Futures Commission
ORGANIZATIONthe Mexican Stock Exchange
ORGANIZATION
the Ministry of Finance
ORGANIZATIONthe Indonesia Stock Exchange
ORGANIZATIONthe Stock Exchange of Thailand
ORGANIZATIONthe Philippine Stock Exchange
ORGANIZATIONBombay Stock Exchange Limited
ORGANIZATION
Frankfurt
LOCATIONthe Taiwan Securities and Futures Bureau
ORGANIZATIONKanto Local Finance Bureau
ORGANIZATION