Epstein Secrets

bil SASREF Jubail 1986 305 114 50.0% Shell Petro Rabigh | Rabigh 1990 400 150 37.5% Sumitomo (37.5%, free float 25%) SATORP Jubail 2014 400 250 62.5% Total (37.5%) YASREF Yanbu 2015 400 250 62.5% Sinopec (37.5%) Total 1905 914 Total in Saudi Arabia 2,911 1,920 International refining JVs: S-Oil South Kore

and Far East Saudi Arabia exported c.1mbpd of oil products in 2014, mainly to Asia and the Far East (56%), other Middle Eastern countries (19%) and Western Europe (12%). Chart 61: Oil product export volumes split per region in 2014 Chart 62: Saudi Arabia oil product slate in 2014 1% _ 1% 20.1 13.0 449 11%

he-Parts analysis. Each business is valued via DCF (except MtM for TMUS and OTE }) using a 7.0% WACC and 1.00% terminal growth rate for Domestic and Western Europe assets (and 8.0% WACC/1% term growth for Eastern Europe assets) and cross-checked using implied valuation multiple analysis. Our Domestic business v

UTRAL BP plc BP BP US Christopher Kuplent BP ple BPAQF BP/ LN Christopher Kuplent Repsol REPYY REPYY US Hamish Clegg Repsol REPYF REP SM Hamish Clegg Total TTFNF FP FP Christopher Kuplent Total TOT TOT US Christopher Kuplent UNDERPERFORM Neste NTOIF NESTE FH Georgia Harris OMV OMVJF OMV AV Hamish Clegg O

ths) underweight neutral overweight Equities T total Canada North America Cc wn > EMU Q UK 2 @ Swit

Return to long-term trend ¢ The Eurozone crisis abates. Financial market conditions recover, mitigating the drag from fiscal austerity. ¢ Growth in Western Europe turns decisively positive by early 2013 and the US economy grows above trend. & Negative scenario (Probability: 15%*) Recession ¢ There are three ke