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ll Lynch Global Equity Volatility Insights | 20 June 2017 19 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014990 --- PAGE BREAK --- Chart 29: The ratio of AS51 3M ATM IV over HSCEL is at its 4-yr high Table 8: Index pairs‘ with the highest implied vol ratio vs their histories (Daily data from 1-Oct-12 through 16-Jun-17) (data a
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014991 →BofA ML turned neutral in EM in the short-term Close positions from trades that have benefited thus far from the rally in Financials and weakness in Utilities; monetize view that Fed will not hike in September Take advantage of low near term vol and a steep term structure Unwind Oct/Jan spread and maintai
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014994 →since 2014. Products issued in Oct-16 (US$3.1bn) and Nov-2016 (USS3.4bn) have knocked out recently and rolled into new products. However, the legacy HSCEl-linked products issued in May-15 were struck at a very high HSCEI spot level and were not able to knock-out this month. We think issuance may pick up
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023594 →BofA ML turned neutral in EM in the short-term Close positions from trades that have benefited thus far from the rally in Financials and weakness in Utilities; monetize view that Fed will not hike in September Take advantage of low near term vol and a steep term structure Unwind Oct/Jan spread and maintai
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023599 →largest increase. KOSPI2-linked issuance hence took over SX5E-linked issuance (currently USS$436mn), which was relatively unchanged compared to June. HSCEl-linked issuance (currently USS 69mn) further declined whereas HSl-linked issuance (currently USS 262mn) increased again. SPX-linked issuance grew to
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025995 →ahead of closing the Rite Aid acquisition Cheap hedge against a bond tantrum Cheap equity upside in a bond / equity melt-up Record outperformance of Utilities vs. Financials + FMS positioning + central bank catalysts = potential for cyclicals / defensives mean reversion SX7E 1M 25d call / SX5E 1M 25d call p
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025997 →Entities connected to both Utilities and HSCEl

Telstra
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United States
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Donald Trump
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U.S. Treasury
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Marc Rich
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Bank of America
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Frankfurt
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Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management
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Seoul
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