Epstein Secrets

ould be able to retain half of the benefit ($8) and the remainder would be passed on to customers or competed away. For instance, a lasting impact to Utilities’ profits is unlikely, as the benefit would be passed on via regulated pricing. Repatriation: Buybacks could boost EPS by 3% Both Trump and the Blue

. deduct.-recur.impact -3.50 -5.00 -6.00 Recurring impact 7.00 1.50 -3.50 One-time repat. tax 8.50 -8.50 Source: BofAML US Equity & Quant Strategy, FactSet, Compustat, S&P “Assumes end to interest deductibility only applies to new debt, where we estimate 70-90% of debt is long-term. Note: For this exhib

Care -39% 60% 42% 8% Financials -21% 58% 30% 6% Information Technology -63% 71% 53% 6% Telecommunication Services -57% 68% 54% 6% Utilities -141% 85% 14% 0% Sector Total % of companies experiencing "catastrophic loss," 1980-2014 All sectors Consumer discretionary Consumer staple

Financials Information Technology Telecommunication Services Utilities 40% 43% 26% 47% 34% 35% 42% 25% 57% 51% 13% Source: Bloomberg, FactSet, Standard & Poor's, 1.P. Morgan Asset Management. 1. "Catastrophic loss" defined as a 70% decline from peak value with minimal recovery. This is a s

perspective. Financials are now trading around median relative valuation levels. Healthcare PE relative is at the bottom of the historical range and Utilities relative PE is also close to the prior low hit in 2013. Food & Beverage still commands a large premium and PE- relative is 6-10% above the 2010 / 201

ex/depreciation - 2yma pushed 2y fwd (RS, %) Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Datastream, IBES Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Factset Margin upside, capex discipline and FX tailwind provide additional support. Third, profit margins in Europe are not elevated: in the bottom third of

preferred cyclical sectors. We also like Energy. e We are cautious on Materials, where we expect margin pressure to continue, as well as Telecom and Utilities, due to high valuations. Strategic (1 to 2 years) °¢ We like medium-sized US companies, which should benefit from robust earnings growth in the lon

et revisions, in %; MSCI Europe) 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% -50% -60% Jun.05 Jun.06 Jun.07 Jun.0&8 Jun.09 Jun.10 Jun.11 Jun.12 Source: FactSet, UBS CIO, as of 27 June 2012 Note: Past performance is no indication for future returns. 21 Please see important disclaimer and disclosures at the

al obligation bonds accounted for 5 defaults; 29 were related to housing; 22 for hospitals and healthcare; 3-4 each for education and infrastructure. Utilities and cities registered 2 each, while counties, special districts, and water & sewer and experienced | each. The average recovery for defaulted munis w

by quarter Index, 12/30/2011 = 100 101 4QE+1% 100 SQE -1% 99 FYI2-1% a8 2QE -2% of 1QE -3% O68 12/30/2011 OVSV2012 O2/2o/2012 OS282012 Source: FactSet The place that worries me the most: Spain. It ranks at or close to the bottom in a lot of categories (see table), and its growth outlook is poor. Hi