Epstein Secrets

00370757 Leading European Sectors: Banks +1.26%, Basic Res +1.18%, Chemicals +1.09% Lagging European Sectors: Food/Bev -0.18%, Autos/Parts -0.05%, Utilities +0.04% RJF eps missed — ALGN view trailed — SYK eps missed TSCO revs missed — ANGI rev view topped — LSI revs below RHI eps beat — GHL revs missed

g -3.5%) • Millicom mixed O1, organic revenue trends generally inline, EBITDA margins light, outlook unch (trading -2.7%) • Heineken O1update ok, Western Europe +2.1%, reits outlook encouraged by positive start (trading -1.8%) • Pernod-Ricard O3 organic sales growth flat vs est +1.4%, Europe weak, expectati

YID Equity Sector Performance' Energy Materials Industrials Discretionary Staples Healthcare rmancials Information Tech. Telecormimications Utilities Overall •Lawdaneturrn as el Al 10.2014 Sauce: J.P. Wigan 1.36 101 1/1 0.94 2.22 6.15 1021 2.12 1.34 102 1.71 0.92 2.30 6.20 1000 2.

2.3 2.3 Taiwan 2.1 35 38 7.6 1.9 g 4.0 4.2 3.8 0.6 12 1.6 1.9 Thailand 2.9 11 42 0.5 42 3.5 4.0 4.0 42 1.7 2.6 2.9 3.8 Western Europe 0.1 1.4 4 22 1.6 t 12 T IA 4 1.8 4 2.2 22 10 OS 0.9 1.3 Euro area -0.4 19 4 2.0 12 t 0.8 t 1.0 4 1.5 4 2.0 20 0.8 06 0.8 1

BofA ML turned neutral in EM in the short-term Close positions from trades that have benefited thus far from the rally in Financials and weakness in Utilities; monetize view that Fed will not hike in September Take advantage of low near term vol and a steep term structure Unwind Oct/Jan spread and maintai

he-Parts analysis. Each business is valued via DCF (except MtM for TMUS and OTE }) using a 7.0% WACC and 1.00% terminal growth rate for Domestic and Western Europe assets (and 8.0% WACC/1% term growth for Eastern Europe assets) and cross-checked using implied valuation multiple analysis. Our Domestic business v

012. We think that the risk that the Fed will take measures in addition to the extension of "Operation Twist" is still significant. e Large parts of Western Europe are in recession or stagnation. We expect the economies of the Eurozone and the UK to show mild improvement in 2H 2012. Still, economic activity is l

preferred cyclical sectors. We also like Energy. e We are cautious on Materials, where we expect margin pressure to continue, as well as Telecom and Utilities, due to high valuations. Strategic (1 to 2 years) °¢ We like medium-sized US companies, which should benefit from robust earnings growth in the lon

Return to long-term trend ¢ The Eurozone crisis abates. Financial market conditions recover, mitigating the drag from fiscal austerity. ¢ Growth in Western Europe turns decisively positive by early 2013 and the US economy grows above trend. & Negative scenario (Probability: 15%*) Recession ¢ There are three ke

arnings growth. Our sector stance in the US Sectors Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Energy Financials T Healthcare ndustrials Telecom Utilities aterials Viclelulsalel vy) vial ws Source: UBS Note: Past performance is not an indication of future returns. For further information please con