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nvestments Commission; Merrill Lynch (Hong Kong): Merrill Lynch (Asia Pacific) Limited, regulated by the Hong Kong Securities and Future
16 Bankof America 2 Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014435 --- PAGE BREAK --- Chart 3: EM debt and equity have been hit Chart 4: While Banks versus Staples has gone ballistic 950 r 40 0.43 ——MSCI EM _ 900 SSW eG TRS EN LSI SEE ERG ; , ———S&P 500 Banks relative to Food & Bev 0.39 (RHS) 850 0.37 0.35 800 0
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014436 →nvestments Commission; Merrill Lynch (Hong Kong): Merrill Lynch (Asia Pacific) Limited, regulated by the Hong Kong Securities and Future
relative price vs 52wk average (SD) Source: Re BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg place this text Chart 6: Rapid relative de-rating for Staples — relative PE for Food & Beverage still 6-10% above 2010 / 2014 levels 1.70 1.60 1.50 1.40 1.30 1.20 =———PE-relative FOOD & BEV 110 eee German
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014462 →Quantitative Analysis
nvestments Commission; Merrill Lynch (Hong Kong): Merrill Lynch (Asia Pacific) Limited, regulated by the Hong Kong Securities and Future
ctor Est. cash Overseas cash Effective tax Net % imported vs Sector overseas ($bn) = % mkt cap rate LTM exported COGS Discretionary 15 2.9% 28% -14% Staples 68 3.2% 29% -13% Energy 39 26% 21% -3% Health Care 187 10% 23% A% Industrials 127 6.0% 26% 1% Technology 647 14.9% 20% -9% Materials 24 40% 23% 3% Te
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023072 →he US and accepts ful o effect any transaction in any errill Lynch (Asia Pacific) Limited in his report. Singapore recipients of ers arisin
SPX puts conditioned on higher rates Participate in the continuation of the reflation trade. Cheapen Financials upside by selling rich Utilities and Staples vol & expensive correl. Higher US rates and stronger dollar are likely to hurt companies exposed to EM and help US DM. Trade the outperformance in a
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023597 →Entities connected to both Merrill Lynch (Asia Pacific) Limited and Staples

United Kingdom
LOCATION
Donald Trump
PERSON
Bank of America
ORGANIZATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATIONMerchant Bank
ORGANIZATION
Frankfurt
LOCATIONMerrill Lynch International Incorporated
ORGANIZATIONthe Securities and Futures Bureau
ORGANIZATIONThe Financial Service Board
ORGANIZATION
Bank of America Corporation
ORGANIZATION
Seoul
LOCATIONMerrill Lynch KSA Company
ORGANIZATION
Bank of America, N.A.
ORGANIZATIONILynch
ORGANIZATIONthe Financial Supervisory Service
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch Argentina SA
ORGANIZATIONthe Central Bank of Ireland
ORGANIZATIONDSP Merrill Lynch Limited
ORGANIZATION