Epstein Secrets

perspective. Financials are now trading around median relative valuation levels. Healthcare PE relative is at the bottom of the historical range and Utilities relative PE is also close to the prior low hit in 2013. Food & Beverage still commands a large premium and PE- relative is 6-10% above the 2010 / 201

0 35 ; 40 —— (SM / Euro PMI manuf alg (advanced 9m) 30 =———=|\iSCI Europe EPS € (trailing yoy, R 60 01/98 «= 01/01 0104 01/07 O10 O13 O16 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Datastream, IBES Chart 3: Cyclicals vs Defensives trade now looks very stretched 4 3 2 1 0 { -2 3 -4 Dec-97 Dec-01 Dec-05 Dec-09 Dec-13 Cyclicals

eek advice rega ents discussed in this report. ‘A Merrill Lynch Global Research, may have issued and may in the future issue trad

BofA ML turned neutral in EM in the short-term Close positions from trades that have benefited thus far from the rally in Financials and weakness in Utilities; monetize view that Fed will not hike in September Take advantage of low near term vol and a steep term structure Unwind Oct/Jan spread and maintai

ould be able to retain half of the benefit ($8) and the remainder would be passed on to customers or competed away. For instance, a lasting impact to Utilities’ profits is unlikely, as the benefit would be passed on via regulated pricing. Repatriation: Buybacks could boost EPS by 3% Both Trump and the Blue

*S&P ex. Fins. & Real Estate cash is as a % of total S&P 500 market cap Source: Bloomberg, FactSet, BofA Merrill Lynch US Equity & US Quant Strategy, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Repatriation in context: a look back at 2004 The last repatriation holiday in the US was the Homeland Investment Act (HIA) of 2004 (part of the Ame

uvFeg n eaeEeoe > co uu eggs = Oo oy oo a0 #0 => vo cs - ow 2 wv a) = ro) = £ = Ss = ox £€Oo 2 Oo ow Ye g 2 Qw = 2 ef Ss £ = ==ts6~ S> = C& Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. *Latest as of 05-Aug-16 Chart 2: Change** in stress across GFSI sub-components. The biggest moves were declines in stress; led by credit. Notably s

ahead of closing the Rite Aid acquisition Cheap hedge against a bond tantrum Cheap equity upside in a bond / equity melt-up Record outperformance of Utilities vs. Financials + FMS positioning + central bank catalysts = potential for cyclicals / defensives mean reversion SX7E 1M 25d call / SX5E 1M 25d call p