Epstein Secrets

r Es a 4 oe Ses 2 Fea f = 2 22 3 sf SE a te ge < = 2 zs eer 8 = = 3 wn New Zealand Data as of December 31, 2016. Source: Investment Strategy Group, Bloomberg. Czech Republic South Africa 60 | Goldman Sachs | JANUARY 2017 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014593 --- PAGE BREAK --- incorporates this view, as we are neutra

Ses 2 Fea f = 2 22 3 sf SE a te ge < = 2 zs eer 8 = = 3 wn New Zealand Data as of December 31, 2016. Source: Investment Strategy Group, Bloomberg. Czech Republic South Africa 60 | Goldman Sachs | JANUARY 2017 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014593 --- PAGE BREAK --- incorporates this view, as we are neutral on the euro, y

organ EM equity portfolio inflows Left axis shows EM equity portfolio flows in Sbn. 200 150 100 0 -50 -10a 05 06 07 08 09 10 It Source: IF. Blomberg. EM equity nortfolioflows $bn 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% MSCI Skin ISCI Wald -20% 12 More details in ... US Credit Markets Outlook

3.2 2.7 1.6 2.5 2.7 2.3 2.5 24 Emerging Europe 4.8 2.5 2.5 0.6 14 1,8 2.4 2.6 3.6 3.0 5.0 5.8 5.8 5.1 Bulgaria 1.7 0.7 1.5 Czech Republic 1.9 -1.1 0.0 -1.6 -1.3 -1.6 0.0 0.8 2.4 1.4 3.4 2.7 2.2 2.4 Hungary 1.6 -1.4 0.0 .1A -0.7 •1.0 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.0 5.5 5.5 3.

stress may bring opportunities to buy dips. CEE capitalized the past five year much better, with fiscal consolidation in Hungary, balanced budget in Czech Republic, and low debt/GDP ratios in Poland. Also, the growth picture is much more rosy, making leverage much more manageable. Trade recommendation: Buy 50y

ance-decline line recently signaled for tactical USD strength and would turn outright bullish with a trend line break and new index highs. Chart 79: Bloomberg US dollar index, weekly chart with USD breadth measures MEBDXY Index - Last Price MISMAVG (200) on Close (BBDXY) LI9L47 Resistance: 1255 | A af" — ql a

1 1 1 1 1 i i 5 10 15 20 Source: J.P. Morgan, Bloomberg. See blue box on page 2 for description. www.mo

15 41 0.5 1.5 2.0 25 46 28 26 25 Emerging Europe 48 2.6 2.6 + 24 13 0.4. 1.8) 27. 24. 3.7 / 64 5.0 60. 63 T Bulgaria wi 0 1.5 a a a we a a a a a a a Czech Republic d -11 0.9 -3.1 -08 -12 -13 21 1.0 43 24 34 29 24 Hungary 6 12 0.5 3.5 -0.9 -1.0 -10 1.0 15 8 44 55 58 47 Poland 43 23 1.61 24 16 0.5 0.5 4 1.34 23. 3

EM* EMBIG Gold -10 10 20 30 Source: J.P. Morgan, Bloomberg. See blue box on page 2 for description. www.jpmo

Singapore Taiwan Thailand Africa/Middle East Israel South Africa Europe Euro area Germany France Italy Spain United Kingdom Emerging Europe Bulgaria Czech Republic Hungary Poland Romania Russia Turkey Global Developed markets Emerging markets Source: J.P. Morgan 6 1.8 2.6 8.9 2.7 5.9 6.6 8.0 3.9 6.9 5.7 4.2 4.7