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EFTA01464478

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DB FX Research and RBA Source: DB FX Research and RBA Page 26 Deutsche Bank AG/London EFTA01464521 28 February 2013 Exchange Rate Perspectives New Zealand (NZD bn ) Figure 1: The basic balance Figure 2: FDI flows Source: DB FX Research and Haver Source: DB FX Research and Haver Figure 3: Net Portfo

29.6 29.5 29.3 Thailand THB/USD 29.8 30.0 30.0 30.0 (Fwd. Rates) 30.0 30.1 30.3 Source: Datastream, Reuters, Bloomberg Finance LP, DB forecasts Emerging Europe Spot Currency Rate Czech Rep. Koruna/Euro 25.6 25.0 24.5 23.8 (Fwd. Rates) EFTA01464481 Koruna/US$ (Fwd. Rates) Forint/US$ (Fwd. Rates) La

EFTA02702625

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Uruguay 5.7 3S 4.0 11.8 21 Venezuela 4.2 5.0 0.0 10.1 0.6 Asla/Pacific Japan -0.7 1/ 0.1 5.3 02 Australia 2.1 3.5 2.5 51 2.6 New Zealand 1.3 2.6 21 4.1 2.3 Asa ex Japan 7.4 6.1 6.4 7.2 5.8 Choa 9.3 7.6 8.0 61 7.1 Hong Kong 50 1.2 3.2 2A -OA India 6.5 5.6 6.0

1 France 1.7 0.1 -0.1 0.1 4.1 Italy 011 -23 -0.5 t -32 t -3.3 Spain 0.4 -1.3 4/ 1 -1.3 -1.7 United Krgdom 01 00 1.8 -12 -1.5 Emerging Europe 41 2.6 2.61 2,4 1.3 Bulgaria 1.7 1.0 1.5 Czech Republic 1.7 -1.1 0.9 -3.1 -0.8 Hungary 1.6 -12 0.5 -3.5 09 Poland 4.3 2.3 1.

EFTA00598496

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t -0.1 3.5 415 1.0 2.0 t 1.7 t 2.7 t 0.2 0.1 0.1 t 0.3 t Australia 2.4 3.5 2.5 2.3 1.9 11 3.7 2.8 2.4 2.4 1.2 2.6 3.2 2.7 New Zealand 1.4 2.3 1 2.8 t 1.0 0.8 2.5 1 3.8 4 4.3 t 1.6 t 3.1 t 1.0 1.4 1.5 2.3 Asia ex Japan China Hong Kong 7.5 9.3 4.9 6.1 7.6 1.2 6

-1.1 3.8 -2.0 :15 Q,Q M.5 -2.5 0.8 0.5 -1.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.6 1.9 2.8 2.6 3.2 2.7 1.6 2.5 2.7 2.3 2.5 24 Emerging Europe 4.8 2.5 2.5 0.6 14 1,8 2.4 2.6 3.6 3.0 5.0 5.8 5.8 5.1 Bulgaria 1.7 0.7 1.5 Czech Republic 1.9 -1.1 0.0 -1.6 -1.3 -1.6 0.0