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Quantitative Analysis
arkets. Much has been written on the timing, funding and process by which corporate tax reform could be enacted. In this report, we use House Speaker Paul Ryan’s Blueprint proposal as a starting point in quantifying the impact of corporate tax reform on the S&P 500, with some scenario analysis to account for
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023071 →thus remain parked offshore, allowing corporations to avoid the tax hit associated with bringing them back to the US. Both Trump and the House (under Ryan) have proposed a mandatory tax of overseas earnings of US firms’ foreign subsidiaries at reduced rates, such that this cash can be brought back and p
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023074 →*S&P ex. Fins. & Real Estate cash is as a % of total S&P 500 market cap Source: Bloomberg, FactSet, BofA Merrill Lynch US Equity & US Quant Strategy, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Repatriation in context: a look back at 2004 The last repatriation holiday in the US was the Homeland Investment Act (HIA) of 2004 (part of the Ame
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023075 →0 35 ; 40 —— (SM / Euro PMI manuf alg (advanced 9m) 30 =———=|\iSCI Europe EPS € (trailing yoy, R 60 01/98 «= 01/01 0104 01/07 O10 O13 O16 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Datastream, IBES Chart 3: Cyclicals vs Defensives trade now looks very stretched 4 3 2 1 0 { -2 3 -4 Dec-97 Dec-01 Dec-05 Dec-09 Dec-13 Cyclicals
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014462 →eing reversed is the kind of thing which Alastair Ryan (our banks strategist) lies awake at night dreami
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014466 →dated Edison ED Chin,Brian A3-7 UNDERPERFORM 74.07 59.00 20,526.00 TripAdvisor TRIP — Schindler,Nat C-3-9 UNDERPERFORM 46.95 41.00 9,071.00 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research BofA Merrill Lynch does and seeks to do business with issuers covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014622 →ch should be an attractive tailwind to DOV’s Energy segment. Tax Policy: Our estimates are based on 29% tax rate in ‘17/18. We calculate that under Ryan’s proposed plan, we can see about 19% upside to EPS. We estimate that under Trump’s proposed plan, we can see about 24% upside to EPS. Catalysts: J
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014625 →Earnings Preview
&S +1 415 676 3574 [email protected] Ryan Goodman, CFA Research Analyst MLPF&S +1 415 676
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014887 →) Ahead ZG Revenue 239 236 Ww Revenue $944 $933 EPS 0.06 0.05 Ahead EPS ($0.49) ($0.60) Ahead YELP Revenue $201 $198 EPS $0.18 $0.16 Ahead Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg, as of 4/4/2017 Bankof America Merrill Lynch Internet/e-Commerce | 06 April 2017 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014889 --- PAGE BREAK --- Our 2017
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014889 →Entities connected to both Paul Ryan and BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research

Jeffrey Epstein
PERSON
Donald Trump
PERSON
Marc Rich
PERSON
Ghislaine Maxwell
PERSON
Barack Obama
PERSON
United States
LOCATION
Richard Kahn
PERSON
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Middle East
LOCATION
U.S. Treasury
ORGANIZATIONLynch
PERSON
Puerto Rico
LOCATION
Jeff Sessions
PERSON
North America
LOCATION
Hong Kong
LOCATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Seoul
LOCATION
Bank of America Corporation
ORGANIZATION
Bank of America
ORGANIZATION