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an oil price shock %decline GDP 0.0% Australian • U.K Euro land Japar• Brazil • Poland Hungary • • U.S. ChinaU • Indonesia IN Turkey • Philippines • Korea • India MI S. Africa Taiwan • Thailand Ar.. Si ■ Canada Mexico Malaysia • Argentina -1.0% -0.5% ISI Source: Bridgewater Associa
ar or two. Free money period gradually coming to an end Policy rates adjusted for inflation, percent 8% -6% '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 Source:M. Morgan Securities LLC. Evidence of China's slow-down Percent change - yoy 32% DM countries 27% EM countries '06 '07 t8 '09 '10 'II Fed tightening periods Fed
ngkok 10500. Indonesia: PT E. Morgan Securities Indonesia is a member of the Indonesia Stock Exchange and is regulated by the OJK a.k.a. BAPEPAM LK. Philippines: E. Morgan Securities Philippines Inc. is a Trading Participant of the Philippine Stock Exchange and a member of the Securities Clearing Corporation
CFA AC (1-212) 622-5676 Bloomberg JPMA SCHOTT <GO' Jessica Fye (1-212) 622-4165 Wendy L Lin (t-212) 622-5350 Dana C Flanders (1-212)622-1256 M. Morgan Securities LLC Mee Porlomanee EN a Mn arg D1411 Neu Am. — MOM snare Moo ON $19500 0.0*INO YID lm 3m 12m Ate I l5.7% -0.5% 1.6% 19.6% Rel I 11.6% .21
ngkok 10500. Indonesia: PT 5. Morgan Securities Indonesia is a member of the Indonesia Stock Exchange and is regulated by the OJK a.k.a. BAPEPAM LK. Philippines: Morgan Securities Philippines Inc. is a Trading Participant of the Philippine Stock Exchange and a member of the Securities Clearing Corporation o
(1-212)622-5676 Bloomberg JPMA SCHOTT <GO, Aditl Singhania, PhD (1-212)622-1267 Wendy L Lin (1-212)622-5350 Dana Flanders, CFA (1-212)622-1256 M. Morgan Securities LLC BMY, BMY US Overweight Price: 660.05 01 October 2015 MRK. MRK US Ovenveighl Price: 549.37 01 October 2015 See page 2 for analyst certificati
Entities connected to both Philippines and M. Morgan Securities LLC

Malaysia
LOCATION
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION
New Zealand
LOCATION
Condoleezza Rice
PERSON
JPMorgan Chase
ORGANIZATION
Frankfurt
LOCATIONthe Securities and Exchange Commission
ORGANIZATION
Mumbai
LOCATION
the Ministry of Finance
ORGANIZATIONthe Securities and Futures Commission
ORGANIZATION
Bangkok
LOCATIONBombay Stock Exchange Limited
ORGANIZATIONthe Philippine Stock Exchange
ORGANIZATIONthe Central Bank of Brazil
ORGANIZATIONthe Indonesia Stock Exchange
ORGANIZATIONthe Mexican Stock Exchange
ORGANIZATIONthe Taiwan Securities and Futures Bureau
ORGANIZATIONthe Stock Exchange of Thailand
ORGANIZATIONthe Hong Kong
LOCATIONEngland & Wales
LOCATION